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It has been argued persuasively that, in order to evaluate climate models, the probability distributions of model output need to be compared to the corresponding empirical distributions of observed data. Distance measures between…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-17 Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting , Nadine Gissibl

Informally, a risk measure is said to be elicitable if there exists a suitable scoring function such that minimizing its expected value recovers the risk measure. In this paper, we analyze the elicitability properties of the class of return…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-20 Mücahit Aygün , Fabio Bellini , Roger J. A. Laeven

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

Robust estimation approaches are of fundamental importance for statistical modelling. To reduce susceptibility to outliers, we propose a robust estimation procedure with t-process under functional ANOVA model. Besides common mean structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-19 Chen Zhang , Zimu Chen , Zhanfeng Wang , Yaohua Wu

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This paper discusses a class of uncertain optimization problems, in which unknown parameters are modeled by fuzzy intervals. The membership functions of the fuzzy intervals are interpreted as possibility distributions for the values of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We introduce a user-friendly computational framework for implementing robust versions of a wide variety of structured regression methods with the L$_{2}$ criterion. In addition to introducing an algorithm for performing L$_{2}$E regression,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-15 Jocelyn T. Chi , Eric C. Chi

Robust estimation and variable selection procedure are developed for the extended t-process regression model with functional data. Statistical properties such as consistency of estimators and predictions are obtained. Numerical studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-20 Zhanfeng Wang , Kai Li , Jian Qing Shi

Knowing the features of a complex system that are highly relevant to a particular target variable is of fundamental interest in many areas of science. Existing approaches are often limited to linear settings, sometimes lack guarantees, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Francesco Quinzan , Ashkan Soleymani , Patrick Jaillet , Cristian R. Rojas , Stefan Bauer

We initiate a systematic investigation of distribution testing in the framework of algorithmic replicability. Specifically, given independent samples from a collection of probability distributions, the goal is to characterize the sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Ilias Diakonikolas , Jingyi Gao , Daniel Kane , Sihan Liu , Christopher Ye

Inspired by the widespread concept of Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals of complete type, this article proposes an alternative class of functionals, termed Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals of robust type. Their construction aims at improving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-12 Tessina H. Scholl

Class-conditional generative models hold promise to overcome the shortcomings of their discriminative counterparts. They are a natural choice to solve discriminative tasks in a robust manner as they jointly optimize for predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Ethan Fetaya , Jörn-Henrik Jacobsen , Will Grathwohl , Richard Zemel

Starting from a linear fractional representation of a linear system affected by constant parametric uncertainties, we demonstrate how to enhance standard robust analysis tests by taking available (noisy) input-output data of the uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tobias Holicki , Carsten W. Scherer

Model explainability is crucial for human users to be able to interpret how a proposed classifier assigns labels to data based on its feature values. We study generalized linear models constructed using sets of feature value rules, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Sanjeeb Dash , Soumyadip Ghosh , Joao Goncalves , Mark S. Squillante

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Determining functionals are tools to describe the finite dimensional long-term dynamics of infinite dimensional dynamical systems. There also exist several applications to infinite dimensional {\em random} dynamical systems. In these…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Igor Chueshov , Jinqiao Duan , Bjorn Schmalfuss

The literature on provable robustness in machine learning has primarily focused on static prediction problems, such as image classification, in which input samples are assumed to be independent and model performance is measured as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Aounon Kumar , Vinu Sankar Sadasivan , Soheil Feizi

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng

The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Conformal prediction has received tremendous attention in recent years and has offered new solutions to problems in missing data and causal inference; yet these advances have not leveraged modern semiparametric efficiency theory for more…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Yachong Yang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen
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