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Most risk analysis models systematically underestimate the probability and impact of catastrophic events (e.g., economic crises, natural disasters, and terrorism) by not taking into account interconnectivity and interdependence of risks. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-17 Xin Lin , Alaa Moussawi , Gyorgy Korniss , Jonathan Z. Bakdash , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

This paper investigates multistep prediction errors for non-stationary autoregressive processes with both model order and true parameters unknown. We give asymptotic expressions for the multistep mean squared prediction errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Ching-Kang Ing , Jin-Lung Lin , Shu-Hui Yu

We present SynRXN, a unified benchmarking framework and open-data resource for computer-aided synthesis planning (CASP). SynRXN decomposes end-to-end synthesis planning into five task families, covering reaction rebalancing, atom-to-atom…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Tieu-Long Phan , Nhu-Ngoc Nguyen Song , Peter F. Stadler

Retrosynthesis, which predicts the reactants of a given target molecule, is an essential task for drug discovery. In recent years, the machine learing based retrosynthesis methods have achieved promising results. In this work, we introduce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Shufang Xie , Rui Yan , Junliang Guo , Yingce Xia , Lijun Wu , Tao Qin

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

Retrosynthesis reaction prediction aims to infer plausible reactant molecules for a given product and is a important problem in computer-aided organic synthesis. Despite recent progress, many existing models still fall short of the accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Youjun Zhao

Robust model predictive control algorithms are essential for addressing unavoidable errors due to the uncertainty in predicting real-world systems. However, the formulation of such algorithms typically results in a trade-off between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-25 Moritz Heinlein , Sankaranarayanan Subramanian , Sergio Lucia

Existing deep learning models applied to reaction prediction in organic chemistry can reach high levels of accuracy (> 90% for Natural Language Processing-based ones). With no chemical knowledge embedded than the information learnt from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Alessandra Toniato , Philippe Schwaller , Antonio Cardinale , Joppe Geluykens , Teodoro Laino

Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) promises to accelerate drug development, enable personalized medicine, and improve the predictability of clinical outcomes. Realizing this potential requires effectively managing the complexity of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-10 Noah DeTal , Christian N. K. Anderson , Mark K. Transtrum

Assessing whether a molecule can be synthesised is a primary task in drug discovery. It enables computational chemists to filter for viable compounds or bias molecular generative models. The notion of synthesisability is dynamic as it…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-15 Antonia Calvi , Théophile Gaudin , Dominik Miketa , Dominique Sydow , Liam Wilbraham

Crystal structure prediction (CSP) stands as a powerful tool in materials science, driving the discovery and design of innovative materials. However, existing CSP methods heavily rely on formation enthalpies derived from density functional…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-16 Chenglong Qin , Jinde Liu , Shiyin Ma , Jiguang Du , Gang Jiang , Liang Zhao

Organizations increasingly rely on predictive models to decide who should be targeted for interventions, such as marketing campaigns, customer retention offers, or medical treatments. Yet these models are usually built to predict outcomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Carlos Fernández-Loría , Yanfang Hou , Foster Provost , Jennifer Hill

Machining time is a major performance criterion when it comes to high-speed machining. CAM software can help in estimating that time for a given strategy. But in practice, CAM-programmed feed rates are rarely achieved, especially where…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-04-15 Xavier Pessoles , Yann Landon , Walter Rubio

Probabilistic programs are key to deal with uncertainty in e.g. controller synthesis. They are typically small but intricate. Their development is complex and error prone requiring quantitative reasoning over a myriad of alternative…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Milan Češka , Christian Hensel , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Constraint answer set programming or CASP, for short, is a hybrid approach in automated reasoning putting together the advances of distinct research areas such as answer set programming, constraint processing, and satisfiability modulo…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Yuliya Lierler

Crystallization is a key step in macromolecular structure determination by crystallography. While a robust theoretical treatment of the process is available, due to the complexity of the system, the experimental process is still largely one…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-02 Irem Altan , Patrick Charbonneau , Edward H. Snell

For a given causal question, it is important to efficiently decide which causal inference method to use for a given dataset. This is challenging because causal methods typically rely on complex and difficult-to-verify assumptions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Shantanu Gupta , Cheng Zhang , Agrin Hilmkil

Masked autoregressive models (MAR) have emerged as a powerful paradigm for image and video generation, combining the flexibility of masked modeling with the expressiveness of continuous tokenizers. However, when sampling individual frames,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Zian Li , Muhan Zhang

Molecular Property Prediction (MPP) is vital for drug discovery, crop protection, and environmental science. Over the last decades, diverse computational techniques have been developed, from using simple physical and chemical properties and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Afnan Sultan , Jochen Sieg , Miriam Mathea , Andrea Volkamer

Many recently introduced enhanced sampling techniques are based on biasing coarse descriptors (collective variables) of a molecular system on the fly. Sometimes the calculation of such collective variables is expensive and becomes a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-09-01 Marco Jacopo Ferrarotti , Sandro Bottaro , Andrea Pérez-Villa , Giovanni Bussi
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