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Accurate and interpretable forecasting of multivariate time series is crucial for understanding the complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets in digital asset systems. Advanced deep learning methodologies, particularly Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Yuan Gao , Zhenguo Dong , Xuelong Wang , Zhiqiang Wang , Yong Zhang , Shaofan Wang

As Machine Learning (ML) models are becoming increasingly complex, one of the central challenges is their deployment at scale, such that companies and organizations can create value through Artificial Intelligence (AI). An emerging paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Lam Duc Nguyen , Shashi Raj Pandey , Soret Beatriz , Arne Broering , Petar Popovski

Limited access to computing resources and training data poses significant challenges for individuals and groups aiming to train and utilize predictive machine learning models. Although numerous publicly available machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Matthew T. Pisano , Connor J. Patterson , Oshani Seneviratne

The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

Cryptocurrencies have recently experienced a new wave of price volatility and interest; activity within social media communities relating to cryptocurrencies has increased significantly. There is currently limited documented knowledge of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Ross C. Phillips , Denise Gorse

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

Developing an accurate prediction model for housing prices is always needed for socio-economic development and well-being of citizens. In this paper, a diverse set of machine learning algorithms such as XGBoost, CatBoost, Random Forest,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Shashi Bhushan Jha , Radu F. Babiceanu , Vijay Pandey , Rajesh Kumar Jha

Working on the daily closing prices and logreturns, in this paper we deal with the use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to forecast the price of the EUR/USD Futures. The aim of our work is to understand how the HMMs describe different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-09 Sara Rebagliati , Emanuela Sasso , Samuele Soraggi

Cryptocurrency trading is a challenging task requiring the integration of heterogeneous data from multiple modalities. Traditional deep learning and reinforcement learning approaches typically demand large training datasets and encode…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-22 Siyi Wu , Junqiao Wang , Zhaoyang Guan , Leyi Zhao , Xinyuan Song , Xinyu Ying , Dexu Yu , Jinhao Wang , Hanlin Zhang , Michele Pak , Yangfan He , Yi Xin , Jianhui Wang , Tianyu Shi

Portfolio management is the decision-making process of allocating an amount of fund into different financial investment products. Cryptocurrencies are electronic and decentralized alternatives to government-issued money, with Bitcoin as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Zhengyao Jiang , Jinjun Liang

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial instruments with more and more new retail investors joining the scene with each passing day. Bitcoin has always proved to determine in which way the rest of the cryptocurrency market is headed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Rahul Arulkumaran , Suyash Kumar , Shikha Tomar , Manideep Gongalla , Harshitha

In this paper, our focus lies on the Merton's jump diffusion model, employing jump processes characterized by the compound Poisson process. Our primary objective is to forecast the drift and volatility of the model using a variety of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Ayush Singh , Anshu K. Jha , Amit N. Kumar

Understanding the variations in trading price (volatility), and its response to exogenous information, is a well-researched topic in finance. In this study, we focus on finding stable and accurate volatility predictors for a relatively new…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-07 M. Eren Akbiyik , Mert Erkul , Killian Kaempf , Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Accurate exchange rate prediction is fundamental to financial stability and international trade, positioning it as a critical focus in economic and financial research. Traditional forecasting models often falter when addressing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Shuchen Meng , Andi Chen , Chihang Wang , Mengyao Zheng , Fangyu Wu , Xupeng Chen , Haowei Ni , Panfeng Li

Being able to predict stock prices might be the unspoken wish of stock investors. Although stock prices are complicated to predict, there are many theories about what affects their movements, including interest rates, news and social media.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Roderick Karlemstrand , Ebba Leckström

The fields of machine learning (ML) and cryptanalysis share an interestingly common objective of creating a function, based on a given set of inputs and outputs. However, the approaches and methods in doing so vary vastly between the two…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Benjamin D. Kim , Vipindev Adat Vasudevan , Rafael G. L. D'Oliveira , Alejandro Cohen , Thomas Stahlbuhk , Muriel Médard

In this paper, we study the ability to make the short-term prediction of the exchange price fluctuations towards the United States dollar for the Bitcoin market. We use the data of realized volatility collected from one of the largest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Tian Guo , Albert Bifet , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Random number generators (RNGs) that are crucial for cryptographic applications have been the subject of adversarial attacks. These attacks exploit environmental information to predict generated random numbers that are supposed to be truly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Nhan Duy Truong , Jing Yan Haw , Syed Muhamad Assad , Ping Koy Lam , Omid Kavehei

While attention is a predictor for digital asset prices, and jumps in Bitcoin prices are well-known, we know little about its alternatives. Studying high frequency crypto data gives us the unique possibility to confirm that cross market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Danial Saef , Odett Nagy , Sergej Sizov , Wolfgang Karl Härdle
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