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In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

In this letter, we propose an online scalar field estimation algorithm of unknown environments using a distributed Gaussian process (DGP) framework in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). While the kernel-based Gaussian process (GP) has been…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Jaemin Seo , Geunsik Bae , Hyondong Oh

The Kalman filter combines forecasts and new observations to obtain an estimation which is optimal in the sense of a minimum average quadratic error. The Kalman filter has two main restrictions: (i) the dynamical system is assumed linear…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Sornette , K. Ide

In this article, we propose a new filtering algorithm based in the Koopman operator, showing that a nonlinear filtering problem can be seen as an equivalent problem where the dynamics is infinite dimensional, but linear. Using Extended…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Diego Olguín , Axel Osses , Héctor Ramírez

In this paper we provide novel closed-form expressions enabling differentiation of any scalar function of the Kalman filter's outputs with respect to all its tuning parameters and to the measurements. The approach differs from the previous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Colin Parellier , Axel Barrau , Silvere Bonnabel

System identification poses a significant bottleneck to characterizing and controlling complex systems. This challenge is greatest when both the system states and parameters are not directly accessible leading to a dual-estimation problem.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-08 Matthew F. Singh , Chong Wang , Michael W. Cole , ShiNung Ching

This work builds upon previous efforts in online incremental learning, namely the Incremental Gaussian Mixture Network (IGMN). The IGMN is capable of learning from data streams in a single-pass by improving its model after analyzing each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Rafael Pinto , Paulo Engel

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

The Kalman filter (KF) provides optimal recursive state estimates for linear-Gaussian systems and underpins applications in control, signal processing, and others. However, it is vulnerable to outliers in the measurements and process noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-02 Alan Yang , Stephen Boyd

The Kalman filter provides an optimal estimation for a linear system with Gaussian noise. However when the noises are non-Gaussian in nature, its performance deteriorates rapidly. For non-Gaussian noises, maximum correntropy Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Joydeb Saha , Shovan Bhaumik

A hybrid particle ensemble Kalman filter is developed for problems with medium non-Gaussianity, i.e. problems where the prior is very non-Gaussian but the posterior is approximately Gaussian. Such situations arise, e.g., when nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 Gregor Robinson , Ian Grooms

We propose an efficient online approximate Bayesian inference algorithm for estimating the parameters of a nonlinear function from a potentially non-stationary data stream. The method is based on the extended Kalman filter (EKF), but uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Peter G. Chang , Gerardo Durán-Martín , Alexander Y Shestopaloff , Matt Jones , Kevin Murphy

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Online estimation of electromechanical oscillation parameters provides essential information to prevent system instability and blackout and helps to identify event categories and locations. We formulate the problem as a state space model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Qibing Zhang , Junhui Huang , Sen Pan

The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

We introduce Kalman Gradient Descent, a stochastic optimization algorithm that uses Kalman filtering to adaptively reduce gradient variance in stochastic gradient descent by filtering the gradient estimates. We present both a theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 James Vuckovic

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

This paper introduces a tensor neural network (TNN) to address nonparametric regression problems, leveraging its distinct sub-network structure to effectively facilitate variable separation and enhance the approximation of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Yongxin Li , Yifan Wang , Zhongshuo Lin , Hehu Xie

In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting observations generated online by an unknown, partially observed linear system, which is driven by stochastic noise. For such systems the optimal predictor in the mean square sense is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Anastasios Tsiamis , George Pappas

Using the array form of numerically stable square-root implementation methods for Kalman filtering formulas, we construct a new square-root algorithm for the log-likelihood gradient (score) evaluation. This avoids the use of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Maria V. Kulikova