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We present an efficient method for fast, complete, and accurate detection of unstable periodic orbits in chaotic systems. Our method consists of a new iterative scheme and an effective technique for selecting initial points. The iterative…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Ruslan L. Davidchack , Ying-Cheng Lai

The modeling of complicated time-evolving physical dynamics from partial observations is a long-standing challenge. Particularly, observations can be sparsely distributed in a seemingly random or unstructured manner, making it difficult to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Fan Xu , Hao Wu , Nan Wang , Lilan Peng , Kun Wang , Wei Gong , Xibin Zhao

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) provides a regression framework for adaptively learning a best-fit linear dynamics model over snapshots of temporal, or spatio-temporal, data. A diversity of regression techniques have been developed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Diya Sashidhar , J. Nathan Kutz

Exact unstable solutions of the Navier-Stokes equations are thought to underpin the dynamics of turbulence, but are usually computed in minimal computational domains. Here, we extend this dynamical systems approach to spatially extended…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-30 Dmitriy Zhigunov , Jacob Page

Uncertain partially observable Markov decision processes (uPOMDPs) allow the probabilistic transition and observation functions of standard POMDPs to belong to a so-called uncertainty set. Such uncertainty, referred to as epistemic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Marnix Suilen , Ufuk Topcu

Using the Lorenz equations, we have investigated whether unstable periodic orbits (UPOs) associated with a strange attractor may predict the occurrence of the robust sharp peaks in histograms of some experimental chaotic time series.…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Scott M. Zoldi

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Divake Kumar , Patrick Poggi , Sina Tayebati , Devashri Naik , Nilesh Ahuja , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i)…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-26 Elise Özalp , Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In spatially extended systems, it is common to find latent variables that are hard, or even impossible, to measure with acceptable precision, but are crucially important for the proper description of the dynamics. This substantially…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Patrick A. K. Reinbold , Roman O. Grigoriev

We present a new method for locating unstable periodic points of one dimensional chaotic maps. This method is based on order statistics. The densities of various maxima of the iterates are discontinuous exactly at unstable periodic points…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. C. Valsakumar , S. V. M. Satyanarayana , S. Kanmani

In the framework of a recently developed theory for Hamiltonian chaos, which makes use of the formulation of Newtonian dynamics in terms of Riemannian differential geometry, we obtained analytic values of the largest Lyapunov exponent for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Roberto Franzosi , Pietro Poggi , Monica Cerruti-Sola

In this article, we study the behaviour of discrete one-dimensional dynamical systems associated to functions on finite sets. We formalise the global orbit pattern formed by all the periodic orbits (gop) as the ordered set of periods when…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-07-12 Rene Lozi , Clarisse Fiol

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with high dimensionality are commonly encountered in computational physics and engineering. However, finding solutions for these PDEs can be computationally expensive, making model-order reduction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi

The periodic Gaussian process (PGP) has been increasingly used to model periodic data due to its high accuracy. Yet, computing the likelihood of PGP has a high computational complexity of $\mathcal{O}\left(n^{3}\right)$ ($n$ is the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Yongxiang Li , Yuting Pu , Changming Cheng , Qian Xiao

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible modeling technique used to predict outputs and to capture uncertainty in the predictions. However, the GP regression process becomes computationally intensive when the training spatial dataset…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Juliette Mukangango , Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest

In this paper, we present a novel framework to synthesize robust strategies for discrete-time nonlinear systems with random disturbances that are unknown, against temporal logic specifications. The proposed framework is data-driven and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-29 Ibon Gracia , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo , Alessandro Abate , Morteza Lahijanian

We present a simple dynamical systems model for the effect of invisible space dimensions on the visible ones. There are three premises. A: Orbits consist of flows of probabilities [P].which is the case in the setting of quantum mechanics.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Boyarsky , P. Gora