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The normalised partial sums of values of a nonnegative multiplicative function over divisors with appropriately restricted sizes of a random permutation from the symmetric group define trajectories of a stochastic process. We prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Eugenijus Manstavičius

High-dimensional dynamical systems projected onto a reduced-order model cease to be deterministic and are best described by probability distributions in state space. Their equations of motion map onto an evolution operator with a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 Javier Jiménez

We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

Traditionally, Probability theory was dealing with limit theorems where 'limit" means that time tends to infinity. Questions about finite time dynamics (evolution) were always considered as, although important for practical applications,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-19 Leonid Bunimovich , Kirill Kovalenko

The emergence and decline of democratic systems worldwide raises fundamental questions about the dynamics of political change. Contrary to the idea of a stable endpoint of liberal democracy, recent backsliding towards less democratic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Joshua Uhlig , Paula Pirker-Díaz , Matthew Wilson , Ralf Metzler , Karoline Wiesner

A recent paper of Melbourne & Stuart, A note on diffusion limits of chaotic skew product flows, Nonlinearity 24 (2011) 1361-1367, gives a rigorous proof of convergence of a fast-slow deterministic system to a stochastic differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

Stochastic optimal control problems have a long tradition in applied probability, with the questions addressed being of high relevance in a multitude of fields. Even though theoretical solutions are well understood in many scenarios, their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sören Christensen , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

Time-dependently driven stochastic systems form a vast and manifold class of non-equilibrium systems used to model important applications on small length scales such as bit erasure protocols or microscopic heat engines. One property that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-07 Julius Degünther , Timur Koyuk , Udo Seifert

Entropic Dynamics is a framework in which dynamical laws are derived as an application of entropic methods of inference. No underlying action principle is postulated. Instead, the dynamics is driven by entropy subject to the constraints…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-11 Ariel Caticha

We study long-range interacting systems driven by external stochastic forces that act collectively on all the particles constituting the system. Such a scenario is frequently encountered in the context of plasmas, self-gravitating systems,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Cesare Nardini , Shamik Gupta , Stefano Ruffo , Thierry Dauxois , Freddy Bouchet

Classical cellular automata represent a class of explicit discrete spacetime lattice models in which complex large-scale phenomena emerge from simple deterministic rules. With the goal to uncover different physically distinct classes of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-27 Rustem Sharipov , Matija Koterle , Sašo Grozdanov , Tomaž Prosen

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

A classical particle system coupled with a thermostat driven by an external constant force reaches its steady state when the ensemble-averaged drift velocity does not vary with time. The statistical mechanics of such a system is derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-02 Jie Yao , Yanting Wang

We introduce a new analytical method, which allows to find out chaotic dynamics in non-smooth dynamical systems. A simple mechanical system consisting of a mass and a dry friction element is considered as an example. The corresponding…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Nikita Begun , Sergey Kryzhevich

Many biological systems are governed by difference equations and exhibit discrete-time dynamics. Examples include the size of a population when generations are non-overlapping, and the incidence of a disease when infections are recorded at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-25 Shuyun Jiao , David Waxman

A probabilistic framework to study the dependence structure induced by deterministic discrete-time state-space systems between input and output processes is introduced. General sufficient conditions are formulated under which output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Juan-Pablo Ortega , Florian Rossmannek

Entropic dynamics is a framework in which the laws of dynamics are derived as an application of entropic methods of inference. Its successes include the derivation of quantum mechanics and quantum field theory from probabilistic principles.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-29 Pedro Pessoa , Felipe Xavier Costa , Ariel Caticha

We suggest a model that describes a mutual dynamic of tectonic plates. The dynamic is a sort of stick-slip one which is modeled by a Markov random process. The process defines a microlevel of the dynamic. A macrolevel is obtained by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-11 E. Pechersky , A. Pirogov , G. Sadowski , A. Yambartsev

We study the time-averaged flow in a model of particles that randomly hop on a finite directed graph. In the limit as the number of particles and the time window go to infinity but the graph remains finite, the large-deviation rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-02 Davide Gabrielli , D. R. Michiel Renger

It is a well established result that, in classical dynamical systems with sufficient time-scale separation, the fast chaotic degrees of freedom are well modeled by (Gaussian) white noise. In this paper, we present the stochastic dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-12-06 Jun Chul Park
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