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The stochastic Polyak step size (SPS) has proven to be a promising choice for stochastic gradient descent (SGD), delivering competitive performance relative to state-of-the-art methods on smooth convex and non-convex optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Dimitris Oikonomou , Nicolas Loizou

Confidence intervals are a standard technique for analyzing data. When applied to time series, confidence intervals are computed for each time point separately. Alternatively, we can compute confidence bands, where we are required to find…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Nikolaj Tatti

Probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling schemes with a target sample size aim to produce a sample comprising a specified number $n$ of items while ensuring that each item in the population appears in the sample with a probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Brian Hentschel , Peter J. Haas , Yuanyuan Tian

Simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for percentiles in linear regression are valuable tools with many applications. In this paper, we propose a novel criterion for comparing SCBs for percentiles, termed the Minimum Area Confidence Set…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-15 Lingjiao Wang , Yang Han , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

The recent developments in the machine learning domain have enabled the development of complex multivariate probabilistic forecasting models. Therefore, it is pivotal to have a precise evaluation method to gauge the performance and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Alireza Koochali , Peter Schichtel , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

This paper studies a structured compound stochastic program (SP) involving multiple expectations coupled by nonconvex and nonsmooth functions. We present a successive convex-programming based sampling algorithm and establish its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Junyi Liu , Ying Cui , Jong-Shi Pang

Several classical adaptive optimization algorithms, such as line search and trust region methods, have been recently extended to stochastic settings where function values, gradients, and Hessians in some cases, are estimated via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Billy Jin , Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

This paper studies density estimation and regression analysis with contaminated data observed on the unit hypersphere S^d. Our methodology and theory are based on harmonic analysis on general S^d. We establish novel nonparametric density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Jeong Min Jeon , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In this paper, we find a sample complexity bound for learning a simplex from noisy samples. Assume a dataset of size $n$ is given which includes i.i.d. samples drawn from a uniform distribution over an unknown simplex in $\mathbb{R}^K$,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Amir Hossein Saberi , Amir Najafi , Seyed Abolfazl Motahari , Babak H. Khalaj

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

Sensitivity measures how much the output of an algorithm changes, in terms of Hamming distance, when part of the input is modified. While approximation algorithms with low sensitivity have been developed for many problems, no sensitivity…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Noah Fleming , Yuichi Yoshida

We introduce a new method for solving nonlinear continuous optimization problems with chance constraints. Our method is based on a reformulation of the probabilistic constraint as a quantile function. The quantile function is approximated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Alejandra Peña-Ordieres , James R. Luedtke , Andreas Wächter

In a linear regression model of fixed dimension $p \leq n$, we construct confidence regions for the unknown parameter vector based on the Lasso estimator that uniformly and exactly hold the prescribed in finite samples as well as in an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Karl Ewald , Ulrike Schneider

Sample average approximation (SAA), a popular method for tractably solving stochastic optimization problems, enjoys strong asymptotic performance guarantees in settings with independent training samples. However, these guarantees are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Yafei Wang , Bo Pan , Wei Tu , Peng Liu , Bei Jiang , Chao Gao , Wei Lu , Shangling Jui , Linglong Kong

Despite their numerous successes, there are many scenarios where adversarial risk metrics do not provide an appropriate measure of robustness. For example, test-time perturbations may occur in a probabilistic manner rather than being…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-03 Benjie Wang , Stefan Webb , Tom Rainforth

In the problem of learning mixtures of linear regressions, the goal is to learn a collection of signal vectors from a sequence of (possibly noisy) linear measurements, where each measurement is evaluated on an unknown signal drawn uniformly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Akshay Krishnamurthy , Arya Mazumdar , Andrew McGregor , Soumyabrata Pal

In this paper, we compute finite sample bounds for data-driven approximations of the solution to stochastic reachability problems. Our approach uses a nonparametric technique known as kernel distribution embeddings, and provides…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Adam J. Thorpe , Kendric R. Ortiz , Meeko M. K. Oishi

The problem of population recovery refers to estimating a distribution based on incomplete or corrupted samples. Consider a random poll of sample size $n$ conducted on a population of individuals, where each pollee is asked to answer $d$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yury Polyanskiy , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Yihong Wu

We propose a series-based nonparametric specification test for a regression function when data are spatially dependent, the `space' being of a general economic or social nature. Dependence can be parametric, parametric with increasing…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Abhimanyu Gupta , Xi Qu

In this paper we present a new error bound on sampling algorithms for frequent itemsets mining. We show that the new bound is asymptotically tighter than the state-of-art bounds, i.e., given the chosen samples, for small enough error…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shiyu Ji , Kun Wan