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The observation and description of collective excitations in solids is a fundamental issue when seeking to understand the physics of a many-body system. Analysis of these excitations is usually carried out by measuring the dynamical…

Deep neural networks tend to underestimate uncertainty and produce overly confident predictions. Recently proposed solutions, such as MC Dropout and SDENet, require complex training and/or auxiliary out-of-distribution data. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Akib Mashrur , Wei Luo , Nayyar A. Zaidi , Antonio Robles-Kelly

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and constant coefficient identification in high-dimensional varying coefficient models based on B-spline basis expansion. Both objectives can be considered as some type of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-16 Heng Lian

Statistical learning evolves quickly with more and more sophisticated models proposed to incorporate the complicated data structure from modern scientific and business problems. Varying index coefficient models extend varying coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Li Jialiang , Lv Jing

Linear regression is a frequently used tool in statistics, however, its validity and interpretability relies on strong model assumptions. While robust estimates of the coefficients' covariance extend the validity of hypothesis tests and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 Werner Brannath , Martin Scharpenberg

Knotted molecules occur naturally and are designed by scientists to gain special biological and material properties. Understanding and utilizing knotting require efficient methods to recognize and generate knotted structures, which are…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-23 Zhiyu Zhang , Yongjian Zhu , Liang Dai

This work presents a new sufficient condition for synthesizing nonlinear controllers that yield bounded closed-loop tracking error transients despite the presence of unmatched uncertainties that are concurrently being learned online. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Samuel G. Gessow , Brett T. Lopez

In this paper, we propose a robust profile estimation method for the parametric and nonparametric components of a single index model when the errors have a strongly unimodal density with unknown nuisance parameter. Under regularity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-25 Claudio Agostinelli , Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente

We propose a novel method to model nonlinear regression problems by adapting the principle of penalization to Partial Least Squares (PLS). Starting with a generalized additive model, we expand the additive component of each variable in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-13 Nicole Kraemer , Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Gerhard Tutz

Learning of matrix-valued data has recently surged in a range of scientific and business applications. Trace regression is a widely used method to model effects of matrix predictors and has shown great success in matrix learning. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-06 Chanwoo Lee , Lexin Li , Hao Helen Zhang , Miaoyan Wang

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) or COM-Poison regression is a popular model for count data due to its ability to capture both under dispersion and over dispersion. However, CMP regression is limited when dealing with complex nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

Big data analytics has opened new avenues in economic research, but the challenge of analyzing datasets with tens of millions of observations is substantial. Conventional econometric methods based on extreme estimators require large amounts…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-02 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Multiple linear regression is a basic statistical tool, yielding a prediction formula with the input variables, slopes, and an intercept. But is it really easy to see which terms have the largest effect, or to explain why the prediction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Peter J. Rousseeuw

A novel framework is introduced to formalize identifiability in well-specified but ill-posed linear regression models. The framework is distribution-free and accommodates highly correlated features that may or may not relate to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Gianluca Finocchio , Tatyana Krivobokova

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

Isotonic regression provides a flexible, tuning-free approach to estimating monotonic functions without imposing global curvature constraints, yet the estimated regression function is inherently a step function. This paper addresses a key…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Timo Kuosmanen , Juan F. Monge , José L. Ruiz , Xun Zhou

Predicting the response of nonlinear dynamical systems subject to random, broadband excitation is important across a range of scientific disciplines, such as structural dynamics and neuroscience. Building data-driven models requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Joseph Massingham , Ole Nielsen , Tore Butlin

We develop a linear-algebraic framework for dimensional analysis in systems with constraints, particularly when variables are numerous or related by implicit relations so that direct elimination is impractical. By expressing both…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Umpei Miyamoto

We study regression discontinuity designs in which many predetermined covariates, possibly much more than the number of observations, can be used to increase the precision of treatment effect estimates. We consider a two-step estimator…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-06 Alexander Kreiß , Christoph Rothe

Generating high quality uncertainty estimates for sequential regression, particularly deep recurrent networks, remains a challenging and open problem. Existing approaches often make restrictive assumptions (such as stationarity) yet still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Jiri Navratil , Matthew Arnold , Benjamin Elder