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We develop a methodology that utilizes deep learning to simultaneously solve and estimate canonical continuous-time general equilibrium models in financial economics. We illustrate our method in two examples: (1) industrial dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-18 Benjamin Fan , Edward Qiao , Anran Jiao , Zhouzhou Gu , Wenhao Li , Lu Lu

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

We explore the statistical and economic importance of restrictions on the dynamics of risk compensation from the perspective of a real-time Bayesian learner who predicts bond excess returns using dynamic term structure models (DTSMs). The…

A part of non-Newtonian fluids are yield stress fluids. They require a minimum stress to flow. Below this minimum value, yield stress fluids remain solid. To date, 1D and 2D numerical models have been used predominantly to study free…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-03 N Schaer , J. Vazquez , M. Dufresne , G Isenmann , J. Wertel

Vector autoregression is an essential tool in empirical macroeconomics and finance for understanding the dynamic interdependencies among multivariate time series. In this study, we expand the scope of vector autoregression by incorporating…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-21 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

The literature on using yield curves to forecast recessions customarily uses 10-year--three-month Treasury yield spread without verification on the pair selection. This study investigates whether the predictive ability of spread can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-19 Jaehyuk Choi , Desheng Ge , Kyu Ho Kang , Sungbin Sohn

Accurate and efficient environment representation is crucial for robotic applications such as motion planning, manipulation, and navigation. Signed distance functions (SDFs) have emerged as a powerful representation for encoding distance to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Zhirui Dai , Tianxing Fan , Mani Amani , Jaemin Seo , Ki Myung Brian Lee , Hyondong Oh , Nikolay Atanasov

Model-free data-driven computational mechanics replaces phenomenological constitutive functions by numerical simulations based on data sets of representative samples in stress-strain space. The distance of strain and stress pairs from the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Kerem Ciftci , Klaus Hackl

A new two-phase model for concentrated suspensions is derived that incorporates a constitutive law combining the rheology for non-Brownian suspension and granular flow. The resulting model exhibits a yield-stress behavior for the solid…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-04-10 Tobias Ahnert , Andreas Münch , Barbara Wagner

Current meta-learning approaches focus on learning functional representations of relationships between variables, i.e. on estimating conditional expectations in regression. In many applications, however, we are faced with conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jean-Francois Ton , Lucian Chan , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

In computational materials science, predicting the yield strain of crosslinked polymers remains a challenging task. A common approach is to identify yield as the first critical point of stress-strain curves simulated by molecular dynamics…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-09-20 Paul N. Patrone , Samuel Tucker , Andrew Dienstfrey

Stacking methods improve the prediction performance of regression models. A simple way to stack base regressions estimators is by combining them linearly, as done by \citet{breiman1996stacked}. Even though this approach is useful from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Victor Coscrato , Marco Henrique de Almeida Inácio , Rafael Izbicki

This article studies global testing of the slope function in functional linear regression model in the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We propose a new testing statistic based on smoothness regularization estimators. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Jianjun Xu , Wenquan Cui

We present a novel formalism to characterize elastic heterogeneities in amorphous solids. In particular, we derive high-order strain-energy expansions for pairwise energies under athermal quasistatic dynamics. We then use the presented…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-01-03 David Richard

We present a novel kernel-based method for learning multivariate stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The method follows a two-step procedure: we first estimate the drift term function, then the (matrix-valued) diffusion function given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Michael L. Wells , Kamel Lahouel , Bruno Jedynak

We propose three novel consistent specification tests for quantile regression models which generalize former tests in three ways. First, we allow the covariate effects to be quantile-dependent and nonlinear. Second, we allow parameterizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Tim Kutzker , Nadja Klein , Dominik Wied

We develop a semi-parametric state-space model for time-series data with latent regime transitions. Classical Markov-switching models use fixed parametric transition functions, such as logistic or probit links, which restrict flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Prakul Sunil Hiremath

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Large volumes of spatiotemporal data, characterized by high spatial and temporal variability, may experience structural changes over time. Unlike traditional change-point problems, each sequence in this context consists of function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Fengyi Song , Decai Liang , Changliang Zou

This paper explores the dependence modeling of financial assets in a dynamic way and its critical role in measuring risk. Two new methods, called Accelerated Moving Window method and Bottom-up method are proposed to detect the change of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Yali Dou , Haiyan Liu , Georgios Aivaliotis