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We derive an equation of motion for interest-rate yield curves by applying a minimum Fisher information variational approach to the implied probability density. By construction, solutions to the equation of motion recover observed bond…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Raymond J. Hawkins , B. Roy Frieden , Joseph L. D'Anna

We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Wayne Yuan Gao , Yuan Liao , Francis Vella

This paper studies a linear model for multidimensional panel data of three or more dimensions with unobserved interactive fixed-effects. The main estimator uses a Neyman-orthogonal approach, and requires two preliminary steps. First, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Hugo Freeman

In this paper, we propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, an extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) to functional data defined on network-structured settings. To asses predictive uncertainity, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Elvira Romano , Antonio Irpino , Claire Miller

This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Kyungsik Nam , Won-Ki Seo

We investigate, using a recently developed model of liquid state theory describing the rheology of dense granular flows, how a yield stress appears in granular matter at the yielding transition. Our model allows us to predict an analytical…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-12-20 O. Coquand , M. Sperl

The term structure of interest rates (yield curve) is a critical facet of financial analytics, impacting various investment and risk management decisions. It is used by the central bank to conduct and monitor its monetary policy. That…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Rédempteur Ntawiratsa , David Niyukuri , Irène Irakoze , Menus Nkurunziza

Yield curve forecasting is an important problem in finance. In this work we explore the use of Gaussian Processes in conjunction with a dynamic modeling strategy, much like the Kalman Filter, to model the yield curve. Gaussian Processes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-07 Rajiv Sambasivan , Sourish Das

We develop and apply an approach for analyzing multi-curve data where each curve is driven by a latent state process. The state at any particular point determines a smooth function, forcing the individual curve to switch from one function…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-24 Camila P. E. de Souza , Nancy E. Heckman , Helena Xu

A linear multiple regression model in function spaces is formulated, under temporal correlated errors. This formulation involves kernel regressors. A generalized least-squared regression parameter estimator is derived. Its asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-07 M. D. Ruiz-Medina , D. Miranda , R. M. Espejo

We study a functional linear regression model that deals with functional responses and allows for both functional covariates and high-dimensional vector covariates. The proposed model is flexible and nests several functional regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu , Rebecca Willett

This paper introduces a novel approach to investigate the dynamics of state distributions, which accommodate both cross-sectional distributions of repeated panels and intra-period distributions of a time series observed at high frequency.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-22 Bo Hu , Joon Y. Park , Junhui Qian

Statistical approaches for Functional Data Analysis concern the paradigm for which the individuals are functions or curves rather than finite dimensional vectors. In this paper, we particularly focus on the modeling and the classification…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Hervé Glotin

Fully nonparametric methods for regression from functional data have poor accuracy from a statistical viewpoint, reflecting the fact that their convergence rates are slower than nonparametric rates for the estimation of high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Dong Chen , Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller

We propose a stochastic volatility model for time series of curves. It is motivated by dynamics of intraday price curves that exhibit both between days dependence and intraday price evolution. The curves are suitably normalized to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Piotr Kokoszka , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

Unsupervised structure learning in high-dimensional time series data has attracted a lot of research interests. For example, segmenting and labelling high dimensional time series can be helpful in behavior understanding and medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Hao Liu , Haoli Bai , Lirong He , Zenglin Xu

We propose a nested reduced-rank regression (NRRR) approach in fitting regression model with multivariate functional responses and predictors, to achieve tailored dimension reduction and facilitate interpretation/visualization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-11 Xiaokang Liu , Shujie Ma , Kun Chen

Spatial functional data arise in many settings, such as particulate matter curves observed at monitoring stations and age population curves at each areal unit. Most existing functional regression models have limited applicability because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Heesang Lee , Dagun Oh , Sunhwa Choi , Jaewoo Park

In this paper we describe the implementation of semi-structured deep distributional regression, a flexible framework to learn conditional distributions based on the combination of additive regression models and deep networks. Our…

Traditional functional linear regression usually takes a one-dimensional functional predictor as input and estimates the continuous coefficient function. Modern applications often generate two-dimensional covariates, which become matrices…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Dan Yang , Jianlong Shao , Haipeng Shen , Hongtu Zhu