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Propagating uncertainties introduced by chemical reaction rate parameters to high-fidelity numerical simulations of complex combustion devices is necessary to ascertain impact on computational predictions. However, the high cost of detailed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-12 Vansh Sharma , Shuzhi Zhang , Rahul Jain , Venkat Raman

Context plays a significant role in the generation of motion for dynamic agents in interactive environments. This work proposes a modular method that utilises a learned model of the environment for motion prediction. This modularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Todor Davchev , Michael Burke , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

Assessing the systemic effects of uncertainty that arises from agents' partial observation of the true states of the world is critical for understanding a wide range of scenarios. Yet, previous modeling work on agent learning and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-15 Wolfram Barfuss , Richard P. Mann

When the dynamics of a system are difficult to model and/or time-consuming to evaluate, such as in deformable object manipulation tasks, motion planning algorithms struggle to find feasible plans efficiently. Such problems are often reduced…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Dale McConachie , Thomas Power , Peter Mitrano , Dmitry Berenson

Maximum likelihood constraint inference is a powerful technique for identifying unmodeled constraints that affect the behavior of a demonstrator acting under a known objective function. However, it was originally formulated only for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Kaylene C. Stocking , David L. McPherson , Robert P. Matthew , Claire J. Tomlin

To improve the predictive capacity of system models in the input-output sense, this paper presents a framework for model updating via learning of modeling uncertainties in locally (and thus also in globally) Lipschitz nonlinear systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Generally, reduced order models of fluid flows are obtained by projecting the Navier-Stokes equations onto a reduced subspace spanned by vector functions that carry the meaningful information of the dynamics. A common method to generate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-22 M. Oulghelou , A. Ammar , R. Ayoub

In this work, we present the novel mathematical framework of latent dynamics models (LDMs) for reduced order modeling of parameterized nonlinear time-dependent PDEs. Our framework casts this latter task as a nonlinear dimensionality…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Nicola Farenga , Stefania Fresca , Simone Brivio , Andrea Manzoni

Deep latent variable models have achieved significant empirical successes in model-based reinforcement learning (RL) due to their expressiveness in modeling complex transition dynamics. On the other hand, it remains unclear theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Tongzheng Ren , Chenjun Xiao , Tianjun Zhang , Na Li , Zhaoran Wang , Sujay Sanghavi , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

We present a framework for learning of modeling uncertainties in Linear Time Invariant (LTI) systems. We propose a methodology to extend the dynamics of an LTI (without uncertainty) with an uncertainty model, based on measured data, to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-01 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

This work proposes an adaptive framework to solve a robust structural shape optimization problem governed by linear elasticity models that account for uncertainties in the loading and material inputs. A posteriori error estimators are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Oğuz Han Altıntaş , Hamdullah Yücel

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

This work proposes a model-reduction approach for the material point method on nonlinear manifolds. Our technique approximates the $\textit{kinematics}$ by approximating the deformation map using an implicit neural representation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Peter Yichen Chen , Maurizio M. Chiaramonte , Eitan Grinspun , Kevin Carlberg

As sequential neural architectures become deeper and more complex, uncertainty estimation is more and more challenging. Efforts in quantifying uncertainty often rely on specific training procedures, and bear additional computational costs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Uncertainty is the only certainty there is. Modeling data uncertainty is essential for regression, especially in unconstrained settings. Traditionally the direct regression formulation is considered and the uncertainty is modeled by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Wanhua Li , Xiaoke Huang , Jiwen Lu , Jianjiang Feng , Jie Zhou

While data-driven techniques are powerful tools for reduced-order modeling of systems with chaotic dynamics, great potential remains for leveraging known physics (i.e. a full-order model (FOM)) to improve predictive capability. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Alex Guo , Michael D. Graham