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To address the complexity of financial time series, this paper proposes a forecasting model combining sliding window and variational mode decomposition (VMD) methods. Historical stock prices and relevant market indicators are used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Luke Li

Financial Times Series such as stock price and exchange rates are, often, non-linear and non-stationary. Use of decomposition models has been found to improve the accuracy of predictive models. The paper proposes a hybrid approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-25 Dhanya Jothimani , Ravi Shankar , Surendra S. Yadav

This research proposes a cutting-edge ensemble deep learning framework for stock price prediction by combining three advanced neural network architectures: The particular areas of interest for the research include but are not limited to:…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-31 Anindya Sarkar , G. Vadivu

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Financial time series prediction, a growing research topic, has attracted considerable interest from scholars, and several approaches have been developed. Among them, decomposition-based methods have achieved promising results. Most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-02 Hamid Nasiri , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

This paper presents MSMF (Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Fusion), a novel approach for enhanced stock market prediction. MSMF addresses key challenges in multi-modal stock analysis by integrating a modality completion encoder, multi-scale feature…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Jiahao Qin

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

Multivariate time series forecasting involves predicting future values based on historical observations. However, existing approaches primarily rely on predefined single-scale patches or lack effective mechanisms for multi-scale feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Huanyao Zhang , Jiaye Lin , Wentao Zhang , Haitao Yuan , Guoliang Li

This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model for forecasting the price of Bitcoin, as the digital currency is known to exhibit frequent fluctuations. The models used are the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and the Long Short-Term…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Emmanuel Boadi

Accurate forecasting in financial markets requires integrating diverse data sources, from historical prices to macroeconomic indicators and financial news. However, existing models often fail to align these modalities effectively, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yunhua Pei , John Cartlidge , Anandadeep Mandal , Daniel Gold , Enrique Marcilio , Riccardo Mazzon

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

The task of predicting future stock values has always been one that is heavily desired albeit very difficult. This difficulty arises from stocks with non-stationary behavior, and without any explicit form. Hence, predictions are best made…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-19 Hieu Quang Nguyen , Abdul Hasib Rahimyar , Xiaodi Wang

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Guowei Zhang , Tao Ren , Yifan Yang

Stock trend forecasting has become a popular research direction that attracts widespread attention in the financial field. Though deep learning methods have achieved promising results, there are still many limitations, for example, how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Hongshun Tang , Lijun Wu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire
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