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Several demographic and health indicators, including the total fertility rate (TFR) and modern contraceptive use rate (mCPR), evolve similarly over time, characterized by a transition between stable states. Existing approaches for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-09 Herbert Susmann , Leontine Alkema

Diagnosing the changes of structural behaviors using monitoring data is an important objective of structural health monitoring (SHM). The changes in structural behaviors are usually manifested as the feature changes in monitored structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Xinyi Lei , Zhicheng Chen , Hui Li , Shiyin Wei

The evaluation of hydrological models is essential for both model selection and reliability assessment. However, simply comparing predictions to observations is insufficient for understanding the global landscape of model behavior. This is…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-06 Yang Yang , Joseph Janssen , Hoshin Gupta , Ting Fong May Chui

Learning the structure of dependencies among multiple random variables is a problem of considerable theoretical and practical interest. Within the context of Bayesian Networks, a practical and surprisingly successful solution to this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Giulio Caravagna , Daniele Ramazzotti

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Current questions in ecology revolve around instabilities in the dynamics on spatial networks and particularly the effect of node heterogeneity. We extend the Master Stability Function formalism to inhomogeneous biregular networks having…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-27 Alexander Krauß , Thilo Gross , Barbara Drossel

The use of measured vibration data from structures has a long history of enabling the development of methods for inference and monitoring. In particular, applications based on system identification and structural health monitoring have…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-10 James Wilson , Max D. Champneys , Matt Tipuric , Robin Mills , David J. Wagg , Timothy J. Rogers

It is crucial to learn the shared structures among functional predictors, as these structures characterize how predictor components exert common effects and, more generally, how predictors are homogeneously associated with the response.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Shuhao Jiao , Hernando Ombao , Ian W. McKeague

The appropriateness of the Poisson model is frequently challenged when examining spatial count data marked by unbalanced distributions, over-dispersion, or under-dispersion. Moreover, traditional parametric models may inadequately capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Mahsa Nadifar , Andriette Bekker , Mohammad Arashi , Abel Ramoelo

RNA function crucially depends on its structure. Thermodynamic models currently used for secondary structure prediction rely on computing the partition function of folding ensembles, and can thus estimate minimum free-energy structures and…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-26 Nicola Calonaci , Alisha Jones , Francesca Cuturello , Michael Sattler , Giovanni Bussi

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

In cognitive radio (CR) technology, the trend of sensing is no longer to only detect the presence of active primary users. A large number of applications demand for more comprehensive knowledge on primary user behaviors in spatial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Weijia Han , Huiyan Sang , Min Sheng , Jiandong Li , Shuguang Cui

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

Structural monitoring for complex built environments often suffers from mismatch between design, laboratory testing, and actual built parameters. Additionally, real-world structural identification problems encounter many challenges. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Xuyang Li , Hamed Bolandi , Talal Salem , Nizar Lajnef , Vishnu Naresh Boddeti

Existing approaches to predictive uncertainty rely either on multi-hypothesis prediction, which promotes diversity but lacks principled aggregation, or on ensemble learning, which improves accuracy but rarely captures the structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez , Muhammad Shahzad , Xia Hong

Assessing the magnitude of fuel consumption of marine traffic is a challenging task. The consumption can be reduced by the ways the vessels are operated, to achieve both improved cost efficiency and reduced CO2 emissions. Mathematical…

The universal tendency in scanning probe microscopy (SPM) over the last two decades is to transition from simple 2D imaging to complex detection and spectroscopic imaging modes. The emergence of complex SPM engines brings forth the…

Neural population activity often exhibits rich variability and temporal structure. This variability is thought to arise from single-neuron stochasticity, neural dynamics on short time-scales, as well as from modulations of neural firing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Mijung Park , Jakob H. Macke

Stochastic dynamic models have been extensively used for the description of processes with uncertainties arising in the operations research, behavioral sciences, and many other application areas. A large class of the problems from these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

We devise a method to detect and estimate forces in a heterogeneous environment based on experimentally recorded stochastic trajectories. In particular, we focus on systems modeled by the heterogeneous overdamped Langevin equation. Here,…