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The performance of modern reinforcement learning algorithms critically relies on tuning ever-increasing numbers of hyperparameters. Often, small changes in a hyperparameter can lead to drastic changes in performance, and different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Jacob Adkins , Michael Bowling , Adam White

Decision trees are an extremely popular machine learning technique. Unfortunately, overfitting in decision trees still remains an open issue that sometimes prevents achieving good performance. In this work, we present a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Rafael Garcia Leiva , Antonio Fernandez Anta , Vincenzo Mancuso , Paolo Casari

How does the formulation of a target variable affect performance within the ML pipeline? The experiments in this study examine numeric targets that have been binarized by comparing against a threshold. We compare the predictive performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Jessica Clark

Hyperparameter optimization is very frequently employed in machine learning. However, an optimization of a large space of parameters could result in overfitting of models. In recent studies on solubility prediction the authors collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Igor V. Tetko , Ruud van Deursen , Guillaume Godin

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

This paper compares the performances of three supervised machine learning algorithms in terms of predictive ability and model interpretation on structured or tabular data. The algorithms considered were scikit-learn implementations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Alice J. Liu , Arpita Mukherjee , Linwei Hu , Jie Chen , Vijayan N. Nair

In classical statistics, the bias-variance trade-off describes how varying a model's complexity (e.g., number of fit parameters) affects its ability to make accurate predictions. According to this trade-off, optimal performance is achieved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Choosing appropriate hyperparameters plays a crucial role in the success of neural networks as hyper-parameters directly control the behavior and performance of the training algorithms. To obtain efficient tuning, Bayesian optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Jiazhao Zhang , Ying Hung , Chung-Ching Lin , Zicheng Liu

We consider the problem of finding tuned regularized parameter estimators for linear models. We start by showing that three known optimal linear estimators belong to a wider class of estimators that can be formulated as a solution to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-03 Per Mattsson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Fitting models with high predictive accuracy that include all relevant but no irrelevant or redundant features is a challenging task on data sets with similar (e.g. highly correlated) features. We propose the approach of tuning the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Andrea Bommert , Jörg Rahnenführer , Michel Lang

Here we propose a novel searching scheme for a tuning parameter in high-dimensional penalized regression methods to address variable selection and modeling when sample sizes are limited compared to the data dimensions. Our method is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-11 Tao Jiang , Stephanie J. London , Mi Kyeong Lee , Josyf C. Mychaleckyj , Alison A. Motsinger-Reif

This paper investigates the critical role of hyperparameters in predictive multiplicity, where different machine learning models trained on the same dataset yield divergent predictions for identical inputs. These inconsistencies can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Mustafa Cavus , Katarzyna Woźnica , Przemysław Biecek

This paper studies the statistical complexity of kernel hyperparameter tuning in the setting of active regression under adversarial noise. We consider the problem of finding the best interpolant from a class of kernels with unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Raphael A. Meyer , Christopher Musco

Optimization techniques play a crucial role in estimating parameters and state information for nonlinear systems. However, some critical aspects of these problems have received little attention in previous research. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Kaushal Kumar

Deep, overparameterized regression models are notorious for their tendency to overfit. This problem is exacerbated in heteroskedastic models, which predict both mean and residual noise for each data point. At one extreme, these models fit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Cristina Molero-Río , Dolores Romero Morales

We conducted an extensive computational experiment, lasting multiple CPU-years, to optimally select parameters for two important classes of algorithms for finding sparse solutions of underdetermined systems of linear equations. We make the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Arian Maleki , David L. Donoho

In this paper, we bridge the gap between hyperparameter optimization and ensemble learning by performing Bayesian optimization of an ensemble with regards to its hyperparameters. Our method consists in building a fixed-size ensemble,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Julien-Charles Lévesque , Christian Gagné , Robert Sabourin

Frequentist and Bayesian methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimal properties. In real-life classification and regression problems, situations exist in which a model based on one of the methods is preferable based on some…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Tanujit Chakraborty , Gauri Kamat , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

This paper proposes the first-ever algorithmic framework for tuning hyper-parameters of stochastic optimization algorithm based on reinforcement learning. Hyper-parameters impose significant influences on the performance of stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-11 Haotian Zhang , Jianyong Sun , Zongben Xu
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