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We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

In adaptive control, a controller is precisely designed for a certain model of the system, but that model's parameters are updated online by another mechanism called the adaptive update. This allows the controller to aim for the benefits of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jason Nezvadovitz

Dynamical systems describe the changes in processes that arise naturally from their underlying physical principles, such as the laws of motion or the conservation of mass, energy or momentum. These models facilitate a causal explanation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Michelle Carey , James O. Ramsay

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

Previous work on sensitivity analysis in Bayesian networks has focused on single parameters, where the goal is to understand the sensitivity of queries to single parameter changes, and to identify single parameter changes that would enforce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Hei Chan , Adnan Darwiche

A common approach to estimation of economic models is to calibrate a sub-set of model parameters and keep them fixed when estimating the remaining parameters. Calibrated parameters likely affect conclusions based on the model but estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-16 Thomas H. Jørgensen

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

In observational studies, exposures are often continuous rather than binary or discrete. At the same time, sensitivity analysis is an important tool that can help determine the robustness of a causal conclusion to a certain level of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Jeffrey Zhang

Dynamic feature selection, where we sequentially query features to make accurate predictions with a minimal budget, is a promising paradigm to reduce feature acquisition costs and provide transparency into a model's predictions. The problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Soham Gadgil , Ian Covert , Su-In Lee

In this study, we introduce a sensitivity analysis methodology for stochastic systems in chemistry, where dynamics are often governed by random processes. Our approach is based on gradient estimation via finite differences, averaging…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-12 Erika M. Herrera Machado , Jakob L. Andersen , Rolf Fagerberg , Daniel Merkle

We study consumer demand in large-scale retail settings with many products, multiple categories and repeated purchase behavior. While inertia and brand loyalty are well documented, existing discrete choice models typically focus on single…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Daniel Brunner , Florian Heiss , Anna B. Schmidt

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

We propose and discuss sensitivity metrics for reliability analysis, which are based on the value of information. These metrics are easier to interpret than other existing sensitivity metrics in the context of a specific decision and they…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Daniel Straub , Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou

We address the problem of parameter estimation in models of systems biology from noisy observations. The models we consider are characterized by simultaneous deterministic nonlinear differential equations whose parameters are either taken…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Xin Liu , Mahesan Niranjan

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

Estimation and inference in dynamic discrete choice models often relies on approximation to lower the computational burden of dynamic programming. Unfortunately, the use of approximation can impart substantial bias in estimation and results…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-23 Ben Deaner

We study existence and uniqueness of the fixed points solutions of a large class of non-linear variable discounted transfer operators associated to a sequential decision-making process. We establish regularity properties of these solutions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 L. Cioletti , Elismar R. Oliveira

Based on the existing literature, this article presents the different ways of choosing the parameters of stochastic volatility models in general, in the context of pricing financial derivative contracts. This includes the use of stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Fabien Le Floc'h

In this paper, we mathematically compared two models of mammalian striated muscle activation dynamics proposed by Hatze and Zajac. Both models are representative of a broad variety of biomechanical models formulated as ordinary differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Robert Rockenfeller , Michael Guenther , Syn Schmitt , Thomas Goetz

Expressive evaluation metrics are indispensable for informative experiments in all areas, and while several metrics are established in some areas, in others, such as feature selection, only indirect or otherwise limited evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Muhammad Rajabinasab , Anton D. Lautrup , Tobias Hyrup , Arthur Zimek