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Model-based geostatistical design involves the selection of locations to collect data to minimise an expected loss function over a set of all possible locations. The loss function is specified to reflect the aim of data collection, which,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-03 S. G. Jagath Senarathne , Werner G. Müller , James M. McGree

Spatiotemporal data analysis with massive zeros is widely used in many areas such as epidemiology and public health. We use a Bayesian framework to fit zero-inflated negative binomial models and employ a set of latent variables from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Qing He , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

Causal discovery from observational and interventional data is challenging due to limited data and non-identifiability: factors that introduce uncertainty in estimating the underlying structural causal model (SCM). Selecting experiments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Panagiotis Tigas , Yashas Annadani , Andrew Jesson , Bernhard Schölkopf , Yarin Gal , Stefan Bauer

Chronic diseases often progress differently across patients. Rather than randomly varying, there are typically a small number of subtypes for how a disease progresses across patients. To capture this structured heterogeneity, the Subtype…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Hongtao Hao , Joseph L. Austerweil

Small area estimation (SAE) produces estimates of population parameters for geographic and demographic subgroups with limited sample sizes. Such estimates are critical for informing policy decisions, ranging from poverty mapping to social…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

Survey data are often collected under multistage sampling designs where units are binned to clusters that are sampled in a first stage. The unit-indexed population variables of interest are typically dependent within cluster. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

The problem of modeling the relationship between univariate distributions and one or more explanatory variables has found increasing interest. Traditional functional data methods cannot be applied directly to distributional data because of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

This paper introduces a novel anomaly detection framework that combines the robust statistical principles of density-estimation-based anomaly detection methods with the representation-learning capabilities of deep learning models. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Joseph Gallego-Mejia , Oscar Bustos-Brinez , Fabio A. González

Extreme weather events epitomize high cost: to society through their physical impacts, and to computer servers that simulate them to assess risk and advance physical understanding. It costs hundreds of simulation years to sample a few…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

This paper explores object detection in the small data regime, where only a limited number of annotated bounding boxes are available due to data rarity and annotation expense. This is a common challenge today with machine learning being…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Lanlan Liu , Michael Muelly , Jia Deng , Tomas Pfister , Li-Jia Li

Preferential sampling provides a formal modeling specification to capture the effect of bias in a set of sampling locations on inference when a geostatistical model is used to explain observed responses at the sampled locations. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

Many areas of research are characterised by the deluge of large-scale highly-dimensional time-series data. However, using the data available for prediction and decision making is hampered by the current lag in our ability to uncover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Richard Dobson

In the field of computational physics and material science, the efficient sampling of rare events occurring at atomic scale is crucial. It aids in understanding mechanisms behind a wide range of important phenomena, including protein…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Xinru Hua , Rasool Ahmad , Jose Blanchet , Wei Cai

Due to the increase in data availability in urban and regional studies, various spatial panel models have emerged to model spatial panel data, which exhibit spatial patterns and spatial dependencies between observations across time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Michael Balzer , Adhen Benlahlou

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The use of remote sensing in humanitarian crisis response missions is well-established and has proven relevant repeatedly. One of the problems is obtaining gold annotations as it is costly and time consuming which makes it almost impossible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Adrianna Janik , Kris Sankaran

For autonomous agents to successfully operate in the real world, anticipation of future events and states of their environment is a key competence. This problem can be formalized as a sequence prediction problem, where a number of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Apratim Bhattacharyya , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele