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The northeastern coast of the U.S. is projected to expand its offshore wind capacity from the existing 30 MW to over 22 GW in the next decade. Yet, only a few wind measurements are available in the region and none at hub height, thus…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-30 Maryam Golbazi , Cristina L. Archer

Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

This study explores wind energy resources in different locations through the Gulf of Oman and also their future variability due climate change impacts. In this regard, EC-EARTH near surface wind outputs obtained from CORDEX-MENA simulations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-25 Shahab Shamshirband , Amir Mosavi , Narjes Nabipour , Kwok-wing Chau

We present an analysis of the wind circulation in the vecinity of the ground surface, for a region centered around Guatemala. We used the regional climate model RegCM to simulate the atmospheric dynamics above that region during the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-01-18 Enrique Pazos

This is the second part of a series of two articles focused on the development and evaluation of the ARP-GEM1 global atmosphere model. The first paper introduced the model's new physics and speedup improvements. In this second part, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-01 Olivier Geoffroy , David Saint-Martin

Near-surface atmospheric conditions can differ sharply over tens to hundreds of meters due to land cover and topography, yet this variability is absent from current weather analyses and forecasts. It is unclear whether such meter-scale…

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Estimating climate effects on future ocean storm severity is plagued by large uncertainties, yet for safe design and operation of offshore structures, best possible estimates of climate effects are required given available data. We explore…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-22 Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

As atmospheric models move to higher resolution and resolve smaller scales, the maximum modeled wind speed also tends to increase. Wave models tuned to coarser wind fields tend to overestimate the wave growth under strong winds. A recently…

Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are an essential tool for analysing regional climate change impacts as they provide simulations with more small-scale details and expected smaller errors than global climate models. There has been much effort…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-24 Ernesto Pasten-Zapata , Julie Jones , Helen Moggridge , Martin Widmann

Accurate multi-decadal wind power predictions are crucial for sustainable energy transitions but are challenged by the coarse spatial resolution of global climate models (GCMs). This study examines the impact of spatial resolution on wind…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-22 Sofia Morelli

We may anticipate that climate change will bring changes to the intensity and variability of near surface winds, either through local effects or by altering the large-scale flow. The impact of climate change on European wind resources has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Richard Davy , Natalia Gnatiuk , Lasse Pettersson , Leonid Bobylev

Atlantic Canada faces significant hurricane threats from damaging winds and coastal flooding that are projected to intensify under climate change. This study adopts a two-stage framework. First, the evolution of wind and coastal-flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki , Alejandro Di Luca

New results from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) and multiple global reanalysis datasets are used to investigate the relationship between the mean and standard deviation in the surface air temperature. A…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-09 Richard Davy , Igor Esau

Recently proposed model of foam impact on the air sea drag coefficient Cd has been employed for the estimation of the efficient foam-bubble radius Rb variation with wind speed U10 in hurricane conditions. The model relates Cd (U10) with the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-04 Ephim Golbraikh , Yuri M. Shtemler

Physics-based atmosphere-land models with prescribed sea surface temperature have notable successes but also biases in their ability to represent atmospheric variability compared to observations. Recently, AI emulators and hybrid models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ian Baxter , Hamid Pahlavan , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Katharine Rucker , Tiffany Shaw

This is the first part of a series of two articles describing the ARP-GEM global atmosphere model version 1 and its evaluation in simulations from 55 km to 6 km resolutions. This article provides a complete description of ARP-GEM1, focusing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-01 David Saint-Martin , Olivier Geoffroy

The evaluation of possible climate change consequence on extreme rainfall has significant implications for the design of engineering structure and socioeconomic resources development. While many studies have assessed the impact of climate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-02 Poulomi Ganguli , Paulin Coulibaly

Reliable regional climate information is essential for assessing the impacts of climate change and for planning in sectors such as renewable energy; yet, producing high-resolution projections through coordinated initiatives like CORDEX that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Nina Effenberger , Maxim Samarin , Maybritt Schillinger , Reto Knutti
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