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This paper illustrates the main results of a spatio-temporal interpolation process of $\text{PM}_{10}$ concentrations at daily resolution using a set of 410 monitoring sites, distributed throughout the Italian territory, for the year 2015.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-24 Guido Fioravanti , Sara Martino , Michela Cameletti , Giorgio Cattani

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Various particle filters have been proposed over the last couple of decades with the common feature that the update step is governed by a type of control law. This feature makes them an attractive alternative to traditional sequential Monte…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat

This paper introduces SPDE bridges with observation noise and contains an analysis of their spatially semidiscrete approximations. The SPDEs are considered in the form of mild solutions in an abstract Hilbert space framework suitable for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Andreas Petersson

We propose a methodology that combines generative latent diffusion models with physics-informed machine learning to generate solutions of parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) conditioned on partial observations, which includes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Davide Gallon , Philippe von Wurstemberger , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen

Astronomical time series from large-scale surveys like LSST are often irregularly sampled and incomplete, posing challenges for classification and anomaly detection. We introduce a new framework based on Neural Stochastic Delay Differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 YongKyung Oh , Seungsu Kam , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Nonlinear propagation of signals in single-mode fiber is well understood, and is typically observed by measuring the temporal profile or optical spectrum of an emerging signal. In multimode fibers, the nonlinearity has both a spatial and a…

Optics · Physics 2020-08-20 Sai Kanth Dacha , Thomas E. Murphy

By making use of martingale representations, we derive the asymptotic normality of particle filters in hidden Markov models and a relatively simple formula for their asymptotic variances. Although repeated resamplings result in complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

In areas such as finance, engineering, and science, we often face situations that change quickly and unpredictably. These situations are tough to handle and require special tools and methods capable of understanding and predicting what…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-23 Wencheng Bao , Shi Feng , Kaiwen Zhang

We study numerical schemes for Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs). We introduce a general method of proof of non-asymptotic uniform in time error bounds on numerical integrators for SPDEs, ensuring the schemes capture both…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Can Huang , Michela Ottobre , Gideon Simpson

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Benjamin M. Kent , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester , Małgorzata J. Zimoń

We consider asymptotic problems in spectral analysis of stationary causal processes. Limiting distributions of periodograms and smoothed periodogram spectral density estimates are obtained and applications to the spectral domain bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Xiaofeng Shao , Wei Biao Wu

A new class of stochastic field models is constructed using nested stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). The model class is computationally efficient, applicable to data on general smooth manifolds, and includes both the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-19 David Bolin , Finn Lindgren

We introduce and analyze a method of learning-informed parameter identification for partial differential equations (PDEs) in an all-at-once framework. The underlying PDE model is formulated in a rather general setting with three unknowns:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Christian Aarset , Martin Holler , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

In this paper, we consider a nonlinear filtering model with observations driven by correlated Wiener processes and point processes. We first derive a Zakai equation whose solution is a unnormalized probability density function of the filter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Fengshan Zhang , Yongkui Zou , Shimin Chai , Yanzhao Cao

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

This paper discusses the non-parametric estimation of a non-linear reaction term in a semi-linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The estimator's consistency is due to the spatial ergodicity of the SPDE while the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Sascha Gaudlitz

We model filtration of a feed solution, containing both small and large foulant particles, by a membrane filter. The membrane interior is modeled as a network of pores, allowing for the simultaneous adsorption of small particles and sieving…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-19 Binan Gu , Pejman Sanaei , Lou Kondic , Linda J. Cummings