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Sample complexity of bias estimation is a lower bound on the runtime of any bias detection method. Many regulatory frameworks require the bias to be tested for all subgroups, whose number grows exponentially with the number of protected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 German Martinez Matilla , Jakub Marecek

We propose a general framework for obtaining probabilistic solutions to PDE-based inverse problems. Bayesian methods are attractive for uncertainty quantification but assume knowledge of the likelihood model or data generation process. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Youngsoo Baek , Wilkins Aquino , Sayan Mukherjee

Neuroimaging meta-analysis is an important tool for finding consistent effects over studies that each usually have 20 or fewer subjects. Interest in meta-analysis in brain mapping is also driven by a recent focus on so-called "reverse…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-05 Jian Kang , Thomas E. Nichols , Tor D. Wager , Timothy D. Johnson

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

Here we address dependence among the test statistics in connection with asymptotically Bayes' optimal tests in presence of sparse alternatives. Extending the setup in Bogdan et.al. (2011) we consider an equicorrelated ( with equal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-29 Rahul Roy , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Recent advances in the field of meta-learning have tackled domains consisting of large numbers of small ("few-shot") supervised learning tasks. Meta-learning algorithms must be able to rapidly adapt to any individual few-shot task, fitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Vivek Myers , Nikhil Sardana

This study investigates Bayesian ensemble learning for improving the quality of decision-making. We consider a decision-maker who selects an action from a set of candidates based on a policy trained using observations. In our setting, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Masahiro Kato

Bayesian inference was once a gold standard for learning with neural networks, providing accurate full predictive distributions and well calibrated uncertainty. However, scaling Bayesian inference techniques to deep neural networks is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Pavel Izmailov , Wesley J. Maddox , Polina Kirichenko , Timur Garipov , Dmitry Vetrov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The treatment effect in a specific subgroup is often of interest in randomized clinical trials. When the subgroup is characterized by the absence of certain post-randomization events, a naive analysis on the subset of patients without these…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Baldur P. Magnusson , Heinz Schmidli , Nicolas Rouyrre , Daniel O. Scharfstein

We propose Bayesian Conformal Prediction (BCP), a framework that combines Bayesian posterior predictive distributions with PAC-style conformal risk control to produce prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fanyi Wu , Veronika Lohmanova , Samuel Kaski , Michele Caprio

This study proposes the novel Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference framework that incorporates symmetry bias into the Bayesian updating process to perform both conventional and inverse Bayesian updates concurrently. Conventional…

The increasing interest in subpopulation analysis has led to the development of various new trial designs and analysis methods in the fields of personalized medicine and targeted therapies. In this paper, subpopulations are defined in terms…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Roland Gerard Gera , Tim Friede

Negative guidance -- explicitly suppressing unwanted attributes -- remains a fundamental challenge in diffusion models, particularly in few-step sampling regimes. While Classifier-Free Guidance (CFG) works well in standard settings, it…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Dar-Yen Chen , Hmrishav Bandyopadhyay , Kai Zou , Yi-Zhe Song

While diffusion priors generate high-quality posterior samples across many inverse problems, they are often trained on limited training sets or purely simulated data, thus inheriting the errors and biases of these underlying sources.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Frederic Wang , Katherine L. Bouman

We propose a novel approach to Bayesian analysis that is provably robust to outliers in the data and often has computational advantages over standard methods. Our technique is based on splitting the data into non-overlapping subgroups,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Stanislav Minsker , Sanvesh Srivastava , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Extraordinary amounts of data are being produced in many branches of science. Proven statistical methods are no longer applicable with extraordinary large data sets due to computational limitations. A critical step in big data analysis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-27 HaiYing Wang , Min Yang , John Stufken

Skewness is a common occurrence in statistical applications. In recent years, various distribution families have been proposed to model skewed data by introducing unequal scales based on the median or mode. However, we argue that the point…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Yiyuan She , Xiaoqiang Wu , Lizhu Tao , Debajyoti Sinha

In designed experiments and surveys, known laws or design feat ures provide checks on the most relevant aspects of a model and identify the target parameters. In contrast, in most observational studies in the health and social sciences, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-18 Sander Greenland

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…