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The recent availability of routine medical data, especially in a university-clinical context, may enable the discovery of typical healthcare pathways, i.e., typical temporal sequences of clinical interventions or hospital readmissions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Nadine Binder , Kathrin Möllenhoff , August Sigle , Holger Dette

The use of cumulative incidence functions for characterizing the risk of one type of event in the presence of others has become increasingly popular over the past decade. The problems of modeling, estimation and inference have been treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-16 Youngjoo Cho , Annette M. Molinaro , Chen Hu , Robert L. Strawderman

In clinical studies, the illness-death model is often used to describe disease progression. A subject starts disease-free, may develop the disease and then die, or die directly. In clinical practice, disease can only be diagnosed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Marta Spreafico , Anja J. Rueten-Budde , Hein Putter , Marta Fiocco

Survival time is the primary endpoint of many randomized controlled trials, and a treatment effect is typically quantified by the hazard ratio under the assumption of proportional hazards. Awareness is increasing that in many settings this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Robin Ristl , Heiko Götte , Armin Schüler , Martin Posch , Franz König

We present a new backfitting algorithm estimating the complex structured non-parametric survival model of Scheike (2001) without having to use smoothing. The considered model is a non-parametric survival model with two time-scales that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Munir Hiabu , Jens P. Nielsen , Thomas H. Scheike

Among the proposals for joint disease mapping, the shared component model has become more popular. Another recent advance to strengthen inference of disease data has been the extension of purely spatial models to include time and space-time…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-04 Behzad Mahaki , Yadollah Mehrabi , Amir Kavousi , Volker J Schmid

Stroke remains one of the most critical global health challenges, ranking as the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. This study explores the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anastasija Tashkova , Stefan Eftimov , Bojan Ristov , Slobodan Kalajdziski

As the scale of machine learning models increases, trends such as scaling laws anticipate consistent downstream improvements in predictive accuracy. However, these trends take the perspective of a single model-provider in isolation, while…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Meena Jagadeesan , Michael I. Jordan , Jacob Steinhardt , Nika Haghtalab

Breast cancer remains a significant global health challenge, with prognosis and treatment decisions largely dependent on clinical characteristics. Accurate prediction of patient outcomes is crucial for personalized treatment strategies.…

Evaluating the performance of a prediction model is a common task in medical statistics. Standard accuracy metrics require the observation of the true outcomes. This is typically not possible in the setting with time-to-event outcomes due…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zhenwei Yang , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Lisa F. Newcomb , Nicole S. Erler

Regional aggregates of health outcomes over delineated administrative units (e.g., states, counties, zip codes), or areal units, are widely used by epidemiologists to map mortality or incidence rates and capture geographic variation. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Leiwen Gao , Sudipto Banerjee , Beate Ritz

Proportional hazards (PH), proportional odds (PO) and accelerated failure time (AFT) models have been widely used to deal with survival data in different fields of knowledge. Despite their popularity, such models are not suitable to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Fabio N. Demarqui , Vinicius D. Mayrink

In empirical studies with time-to-event outcomes, investigators often leverage observational data to conduct causal inference on the effect of exposure when randomized controlled trial data is unavailable. Model misspecification and lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Shenbo Xu , Bang Zheng , Bowen Su , Stan Finkelstein , Roy Welsch , Kenney Ng , Ioanna Tzoulaki , Zach Shahn

In this paper we utilize a survival analysis methodology incorporating Bayesian additive regression trees to account for nonlinear and additive covariate effects. We compare the performance of Bayesian additive regression trees, Cox…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-05 Satabdi Saha , Duchwan Ryu , Nader Ebrahimi

The penalized Cox proportional hazard model is a popular analytical approach for survival data with a large number of covariates. Such problems are especially challenging when covariates vary over follow-up time (i.e., the covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Steve Cygu , Jonathan Dushoff , Benjamin M. Bolker

Fulfilling the promise of precision medicine requires accurately and precisely classifying disease states. For cancer, this includes prediction of survival time from a surfeit of covariates. Such data presents an opportunity for improved…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-22 Shannon R. McCurdy , Annette Molinaro , Lior Pachter

In population-based cohorts, disease diagnoses are typically censored by intervals as made during scheduled follow-up visits. The exact disease onset time is thus unknown, and in the presence of semi-competing risk of death, subjects may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Ariane Bercu , Agathe Guilloux , Cécile Proust-Lima , Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda

Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Multiple indications of disease progression found in a cancer patient by loco-regional relapse, distant metastasis and death. Early identification of these indications is necessary to change the treatment strategy. Biomarkers play an…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-23 Atanu Bhattacharjee , Gajendra K. Vishwakarma , Souvik Banerjee

A central focus in survival analysis is examining how covariates influence survival time. These covariate effects are often found to be either time-varying, heterogeneous - such as being specific to patients, treatments, or subgroups - or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Niklas Hagemann , Thomas Kneib , Kathrin Möllenhoff