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This paper introduces a novel Monte Carlo (MC) method to simulate the evolution of the low-earth orbit environment, enhancing the MIT Orbital Capacity Analysis Tool (MOCAT). In recent decades, numerous space environment models have been…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-15 Daniel Jang , Davide Gusmini , Peng Mun Siew , Andrea D'Ambrosio , Simone Servadio , Pablo Machuca , Richard Linares

The presence of debris in Earth's orbit poses a significant risk to human activity in outer space. This debris population continues to grow due to ground launches, loss of external parts from space ships, and uncontrollable collisions…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-11 John Jurkiewicz , Peter Hinow

The number of resident space objects is rising at an alarming rate. Mega-constellations and breakup events are proliferating in most orbital regimes, and safe navigation is becoming increasingly problematic. It is important to be able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-11 Yannick Sztamfater Garcia , Joaquin Miguez , Manuel Sanjurjo-Rivo

This paper presents an analytical model for collision probability assessments between de-orbiting or injecting space objects and satellite constellations. Considering the first to be subjected to a continuous tangential acceleration, its…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Eduardo Maria Polli , Juan Luis Gonzalo , Camilla Colombo

Traffic systems are becoming increasingly automated. How will automated objects interact with non-automated objects? How will partially-automated systems handle large disruptions? Low-Earth orbit (LEO) -- filled with thousands of automated…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-08 Akhil Rao

Orbital debris is a nonlinear control problem in a stratified orbital environment, not a static inventory. This paper develops a reduced-order shell-and-size framework that connects collision-rate scaling, fragment-production gain, natural…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-28 Slava G. Turyshev

Numerical simulations are at the center of predicting the space debris environment of the upcoming decades. In light of debris generating events, such as continued anti-satellite weapon tests and planned mega-constellations, accurate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-15 Pablo Gómez , Fabio Gratl , Oliver Bösing , Dario Izzo

All-vs-all orbital evolutionary simulations for the low Earth orbit (LEO) simulate the long term evolution of the LEO environment. Although these simulations typically offer the highest fidelity, they are also highly computationally…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-12 Enrico M. Zucchelli , Daniel Jang , Richard Linares

We focus on preventing collisions between debris and debris, for which there is no current, effective mitigation strategy. We investigate the feasibility of using a medium-powered (5 kW) ground-based laser combined with a ground-based…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-05-27 James Mason , Jan Stupl , William Marshall , Creon Levit

The space environment around the Earth is populated by more than 130 million objects of 1 mm in size and larger, and future predictions shows that this amount is destined to increase, even if mitigation measures are implemented at a far…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-29 Mirko Trisolini , Hugh G. Lewis , Camilla Colombo

Terrestrial planet formation theory is at a bottleneck, with the growing realization that pairwise collisions are treated far too simply. Here, and in our companion paper (Cambioni et al. 2019) that introduces the training methodology, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-28 Alexandre Emsenhuber , Saverio Cambioni , Erik Asphaug , Travis S. J. Gabriel , Stephen R. Schwartz , Roberto Furfaro

Low Earth orbits (LEO) are known as a region of high space activity and, consequently, space debris highest density. Launcher upper stages and defunct satellites are the largest space debris objects, whose collisions can result in still…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-01-08 Sergey Efimov , Dmitry Pritykin , Vladislav Sidorenko

Numerical simulations of the stochastic end stage of planet formation typically begin with a population of embryos and planetesimals that grow into planets by merging. We analyzed the impact parameters of collisions leading to the growth of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-04 S. T. Stewart , Z. M. Leinhardt

Launch behaviors are a key determinant of the orbital environment. Physical and economic forces such as fragmentations and changing launch costs, or policies like post-mission disposal (PMD) compliance requirements, will alter the relative…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-12 Akhil Rao , Francesca Letizia

Future launches are projected to significantly increase both the number of active satellites and aggregate collision risk in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). In this paper, a dynamical systems theory approach is used to analyze the effect of launch…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-05 Celina Pasiecznik , Andrea D'Ambrosio , Daniel Jang , Richard Linares

The rapid advancement and miniaturization of spacecraft electronics, sensors, actuators, and power systems have resulted in growing proliferation of small-spacecraft. Coupled with this is the growing number of rocket launches, with…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-05 Steven Morad , Himangshu Kalita , Ravi teja Nallapu , Jekan Thangavelautham

Planet-planet collisions are a common outcome of instability in systems of transiting planets close to the star, as well as occurring during in-situ formation of such planets from embryos. Previous N-body studies of instability amongst…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 Alexander J Mustill , Melvyn B Davies , Anders Johansen

We present the results of a large scale simulation, reproducing the behavior of a data center for the build-up and maintenance of a complete catalog of space debris in the upper part of the low Earth orbits region (LEO). The purpose is to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Andrea Milani , Davide Farnocchia , Linda Dimare , Alessandro Rossi , Fabrizio Bernardi

Due to their strong resonances with their host planet, Trojan asteroids can remain in stable orbits for billions of years. As a result, they are powerful probes for constraining the dynamical and chemical history of the solar system.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-22 Kevin J. Napier , Larissa Markwardt , Fred C. Adams , David W. Gerdes , Hsing Wen Lin

The nearby space surrounding the Earth is densely populated by artificial satellites and instruments, whose orbits are distributed within the Low-Earth-Orbit region (LEO), ranging between 90 and 2 000 $km$ of altitude. As a consequence of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-10 Alessandra Celletti , Cătălin Galeş
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