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Interference arises when the treatment assigned to one individual affects the outcomes of other individuals. Commonly, individuals are naturally grouped into clusters, and interference occurs only among individuals within the same cluster,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Chao Cheng , Fan Li

In this paper the elicitation of probabilities from human experts is considered as a measurement process, which may be disturbed by random 'measurement noise'. Using Bayesian concepts a second order probability distribution is derived…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Gerhard Paaß

We develop a general theory for the goodness-of-fit test to non-linear models. In particular, we assume that the observations are noisy samples of a submanifold defined by a \yao{sufficiently smooth non-linear map}. The observation noise is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-12 Alexander Shapiro , Yao Xie , Rui Zhang

We consider databases in which each attribute takes values from a partially ordered set (poset). This allows one to model a number of interesting scenarios arising in different applications, including quantitative databases, taxonomies, and…

Databases · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Khaled M. Elbassioni

Intelligent agents can cope with sensory-rich environments by learning task-agnostic state abstractions. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to approximate causal states, which are the coarsest partition of the joint history of actions…

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

We present a novel Bayesian topic model for learning discourse-level document structure. Our model leverages insights from discourse theory to constrain latent topic assignments in a way that reflects the underlying organization of document…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Harr Chen , S. R. K. Branavan , Regina Barzilay , David R. Karger

Relational data are usually highly incomplete in practice, which inspires us to leverage side information to improve the performance of community detection and link prediction. This paper presents a Bayesian probabilistic approach that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-15 He Zhao , Lan Du , Wray Buntine

In the development of operational semantics of concurrent systems, a key decision concerns the adoption of a suitable notion of execution model, which basically amounts to choosing a class of partial orders according to which events are…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Maciej Koutny , Lukasz Mikulski

We present a probabilistic model for learning from dynamic relational data, wherein the observed interactions among networked nodes are modeled via the Bernoulli Poisson link function, and the underlying network structure are characterized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

Multitype branching processes with immigration in one type are used to model the dynamics of stage-structured plant populations. Parametric inference is first carried out when count data of all types are observed. Statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2009-02-27 Catherine Laredo , Olivier David , Aurélie Garnier

We develop a sequential low-complexity inference procedure for Dirichlet process mixtures of Gaussians for online clustering and parameter estimation when the number of clusters are unknown a-priori. We present an easily computable, closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-15 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Keith W. Forsythe

While rankings are at the heart of social science research, little is known about how to analyze ranking data in experimental studies. This paper introduces a potential-outcomes framework to perform causal inference when outcome data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Yuki Atsusaka

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

We consider the problem of finding the $k^{th}$ highest element in a totally ordered set of $n$ elements (select), and partitioning a totally ordered set into the top $k$ and bottom $n-k$ elements (partition) using pairwise comparisons.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Mark Braverman , Jieming Mao , S. Matthew Weinberg

The goal of partial-order methods is to accelerate the exploration of concurrent systems by examining only a representative subset of all possible runs. The stateful approach builds a transition system with representative runs, while the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Frédéric Herbreteau , Sarah Larroze-Jardiné , Gérald Point , Igor Walukiewicz

The following learning problem arises naturally in various applications: Given a finite sample from a categorical or count time series, can we learn a function of the sample that (nearly) maximizes the probability of correctly guessing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 J. -R. Chazottes , S. Gallo , D. Takahashi

We present a novel Bayesian nonparametric regression model for covariates X and continuous, real response variable Y. The model is parametrized in terms of marginal distributions for Y and X and a regression function which tunes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 Tristan Gray-Davies , Chris Holmes , Francois Caron

We develop a principled methodology to infer assortative communities in networks based on a nonparametric Bayesian formulation of the planted partition model. We show that this approach succeeds in finding statistically significant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Lizhi Zhang , Tiago P. Peixoto

In problems such as variable selection and graph estimation, models are characterized by Boolean logical structure such as presence or absence of a variable or an edge. Consequently, false positive error or false negative error can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Armeen Taeb , Peter Bühlmann , Venkat Chandrasekaran
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