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We propose a flexible nonparametric Bayesian modelling framework for multivariate time series of count data based on tensor factorisations. Our models can be viewed as infinite state space Markov chains of known maximal order with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Zhongzhen Wang , Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kosmidis

We consider the problem of ranking a set of objects based on their performance when the measurement of said performance is subject to noise. In this scenario, the performance is measured repeatedly, resulting in a range of measurements for…

Performance · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Aravind Sankaran , Lars Karlsson , Paolo Bientinesi

In applications such as rank aggregation, mixture models for permutations are frequently used when the population exhibits heterogeneity. In this work, we study the widely used Mallows mixture model. In the high-dimensional setting, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-07 Cheng Mao , Yihong Wu

The statistical problem of parameter estimation in partially observed hypoelliptic diffusion processes is naturally occurring in many applications. However, due to the noise structure, where the noise components of the different coordinates…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-13 Susanne Ditlevsen , Adeline Samson

We introduce a novel statistical significance-based approach for clustering hierarchical data using semi-parametric linear mixed-effects models designed for responses with laws in the exponential family (e.g., Poisson and Bernoulli). Within…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Alessandra Ragni , Chiara Masci , Francesca Ieva , Anna Maria Paganoni

A new modeling framework for bipartite social networks arising from a sequence of partially time-ordered relational events is proposed. We directly model the joint distribution of the binary variables indicating if each single actor is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Francesco Bartolucci , Antonietta Mira , Stefano Peluso

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

In order theory, partially ordered sets are only equipped with one relation which decides the entire structure/Hasse diagram of the set. In this paper, we have presented how partially ordered sets can be studied under simultaneous partially…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2023-07-03 Omprakash Atale

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

We present a Bayesian nonparametric Poisson factorization model for modeling network data with an unknown and potentially growing number of overlapping communities. The construction is based on completely random measures and allows the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Fadhel Ayed , François Caron

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

We develop a Bayesian Poisson matrix factorization model for forming recommendations from sparse user behavior data. These data are large user/item matrices where each user has provided feedback on only a small subset of items, either…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Prem Gopalan , Jake M. Hofman , David M. Blei

We propose a novel Bayesian model framework for discrete ordinal and count data based on conditional transformations of the responses. The conditional transformation function is estimated from the data in conjunction with an a priori chosen…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib

Probabilistic machine learning models are often insufficient to help with decisions on interventions because those models find correlations - not causal relationships. If observational data is only available and experimentation are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Marios Papamichalis , Abhishek Ray , Ilias Bilionis , Karthik Kannan , Rajiv Krishnamurthy

In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for clustering partial ranking data. We start by developing a Bayesian nonparametric extension of the popular Plackett-Luce choice model that can handle an infinite number of choice…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-04 François Caron , Yee Whye Teh , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We propose the Pseudo-Mallows distribution over the set of all permutations of $n$ items, to approximate the posterior distribution with a Mallows likelihood. The Mallows model has been proven to be useful for recommender systems where it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-30 Qinghua Liu , Valeria Vitelli , Carlo Mannino , Arnoldo Frigessi , Ida Scheel

In this paper we give an overview of partial orders on the space of probability distributions that carry a notion of information content and serve as a generalisation of the Bayesian order given in (Coecke and Martin, 2011). We investigate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-08-05 John van de Wetering

We consider learning a causal ordering of variables in a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model called LiNGAM. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate a causal ordering assuming that all the model assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-30 Tatsuya Tashiro , Shohei Shimizu , Aapo Hyvarinen , Takashi Washio

Process discovery algorithms traditionally linearize events, failing to capture the inherent concurrency of real-world processes. While some techniques can handle partially ordered data, they often struggle with scalability on large event…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Humam Kourani , Gyunam Park , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

We consider the problem of ranking objects from noisy pairwise comparisons, for example, ranking tennis players from the outcomes of matches. We follow a standard approach to this problem and assume that each object has an unobserved…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Daniel Sánchez Catalina , George T. Cantwell