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During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy. Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,…

Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has been successfully applied in many sequence learning problems. Such as handwriting recognition, image description, natural language processing and video motion analysis. After years of development,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-01 Guoqiang Zhong , Guohua Yue , Xiao Ling

The COVID-19 pandemic is considered as the most alarming global health calamity of this century. COVID-19 has been confirmed to be mutated from coronavirus family. As stated by the records of The World Health Organization (WHO at April 18…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Subhrangshu Adhikary , Sonam Chaturvedi , Sudhir Kumar Chaturvedi , Saikat Banerjee

Benefiting from the powerful expressive capability of graphs, graph-based approaches have achieved impressive performance in various biomedical applications. Most existing methods tend to define the adjacency matrix among samples manually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Shuai Zheng , Zhenfeng Zhu , Zhizhe Liu , Zhenyu Guo , Yang Liu , Yao Zhao

Some of the key questions of interest during the COVID-19 pandemic (and all outbreaks) include: where did the disease start, how is it spreading, who is at risk, and how to control the spread. There are a large number of complex factors…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-22 Aniruddha Adiga , Jiangzhuo Chen , Madhav Marathe , Henning Mortveit , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Anil Vullikanti

The emergence of the novel COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on global healthcare and the economy over the past few months. The virus's rapid widespread has led to a proliferation in biomedical research addressing the pandemic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Chongyan Chen , Islam Akef Ebeid , Yi Bu , Ying Ding

Epidemiological models are best suitable to model an epidemic if the spread pattern is stationary. To deal with non-stationary patterns and multiple waves of an epidemic, we develop a hybrid model encompassing epidemic modeling, particle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

The emergence and spread of deadly pandemics has repeatedly occurred throughout history, causing widespread infections and loss of life. The rapid spread of pandemics have made governments across the world adopt a range of actions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-15 Marianna Karapitta , Andreas Kasis , Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

We present a compartmental SEIRD model aimed at forecasting hospital occupancy in metropolitan areas during the current COVID-19 outbreak. The model features asymptomatic and symptomatic infections with detailed hospital dynamics. We model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-08 Marcos A. Capistran , Antonio Capella , J. Andres Christen

Extreme events are occurrences whose magnitude and potential cause extensive damage on people, infrastructure, and the environment. Motivated by the extreme nature of the current global health landscape, which is plagued by the coronavirus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Nhuong V. Nguyen , Sybille Legitime

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, has raised a calamitous situation all over the world and has become one of the most acute and severe ailments in the past hundred years. The prevalence rate of COVID-19 is rapidly rising every day…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-09 Md. Milon Islam , Fakhri Karray , Reda Alhajj , Jia Zeng

Recent work has shown the potential of using audio data (eg, cough, breathing, and voice) in the screening for COVID-19. However, these approaches only focus on one-off detection and detect the infection given the current audio sample, but…

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, SIRD model, to allow for time varying parameters for real-time measurement of the stance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured using the generalized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-11 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

This paper proposes GluMind, a transformer-based multimodal framework designed for continual and long-term blood glucose forecasting. GluMind devises two attention mechanisms, including cross-attention and multi-scale attention, which…

In this work, we contribute the first visual open-source empirical study on human behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to investigate how compliant a general population is to mask-wearing-related public-health policy.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-23 Yuxi Heluo , Kexin Wang , Charles W. Robson

The ongoing global pandemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses a serious threat to public health and the economy. Rapid and accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 is crucial to prevent the further spread of the disease and reduce its…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-31 Jun Shi , Huite Yi , Shulan Ruan , Zhaohui Wang , Xiaoyu Hao , Hong An , Wei Wei

Effective epidemic forecasting is critical for public health strategies and efficient medical resource allocation, especially in the face of rapidly spreading infectious diseases. However, existing deep-learning methods often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Guancheng Wan , Zewen Liu , Max S. Y. Lau , B. Aditya Prakash , Wei Jin

We present a personalized and reliable prediction model for healthcare, which can provide individually tailored medical services such as diagnosis, disease treatment, and prevention. Our proposed framework targets at making personalized and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Ingyo Chung , Saehoon Kim , Juho Lee , Kwang Joon Kim , Sung Ju Hwang , Eunho Yang

Traffic forecasting is one of the most fundamental problems in transportation science and artificial intelligence. The key challenge is to effectively model complex spatial-temporal dependencies and correlations in modern traffic data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Haiyang Liu , Chunjiang Zhu , Detian Zhang , Qing Li