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Emerging in December 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic caused widespread health, economic, and social disruptions. Rapid global transmission overwhelmed healthcare systems, resulting in high infection rates, hospitalisations, and fatalities. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

The advent of the coronavirus pandemic has sparked the interest in predictive models capable of forecasting virus-spreading, especially for boosting and supporting decision-making processes. In this paper, we will outline the main Deep…

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted delayed reporting as a significant impediment to effective disease surveillance and decision-making. In the absence of timely data, statistical models which account for delays can be adopted to nowcast…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Oliver Stoner , Theo Economou , Alba Halliday

Over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) have been successfully employed on numerous occasions to obtain vital data-driven insights. In this paper we further substantiate the success story of GAMs,…

Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improve emerging infectious disease forecasting under operational…

As financial markets grow increasingly complex in the big data era, accurate stock prediction has become more critical. Traditional time series models, such as GRUs, have been widely used but often struggle to capture the intricate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Sheng Xiang , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Background. Forecasting the time of forthcoming pandemic reduces the impact of diseases by taking precautionary steps such as public health messaging and raising the consciousness of doctors. With the continuous and rapid increase in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Muhammad Naeem , Jian Yu , Muhammad Aamir , Sajjad Ahmad Khan , Olayinka Adeleye , Zardad Khan

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

In this paper, we introduce Temporal Multiresolution Graph Neural Networks (TMGNN), the first architecture that both learns to construct the multiscale and multiresolution graph structures and incorporates the time-series signals to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Truong Son Hy , Viet Bach Nguyen , Long Tran-Thanh , Risi Kondor

The COVID-19 pandemic response relied heavily on statistical and machine learning models to predict key outcomes such as case prevalence and fatality rates. These predictions were instrumental in enabling timely public health interventions…

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

Accurate forecasting of infectious disease incidence is critical for public health planning and timely intervention. While most data-driven forecasting approaches rely primarily on historical data from a single country, such data are often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-29 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Artemis Kontou , Panayiotis Kolios

Due to the characteristics of COVID-19, the epidemic develops rapidly and overwhelms health service systems worldwide. Many patients suffer from systemic life-threatening problems and need to be carefully monitored in ICUs. Thus the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Liantao Ma , Xinyu Ma , Junyi Gao , Chaohe Zhang , Zhihao Yu , Xianfeng Jiao , Wenjie Ruan , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Jiangtao Wang

This paper addresses the challenges of fault prediction and delayed response in distributed systems by proposing an intelligent prediction method based on temporal feature learning. The method takes multi-dimensional performance metric…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Yang Wang , Wenxuan Zhu , Xuehui Quan , Heyi Wang , Chang Liu , Qiyuan Wu

The abrupt outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic was the most significant event in 2020, which had profound and lasting impacts across the world. Studies on energy markets observed a decline in energy demand and changes in energy consumption…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-04 Ziyun Wang , Hao Wang

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the integration of interpretable machine learning techniques has garnered significant attention, offering transparent and understandable insights crucial for informed clinical decision making. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Jinzhi Shen , Ke Ma