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We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

Diffusion models generate high-dimensional data such as images by learning a process that gradually removes noise from corrupted data. Recent studies have shown that the backward dynamics of diffusion models exhibit two characteristic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Tomoei Takahashi , Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Diffusion models accomplish remarkable success in data generation tasks across various domains. However, the iterative sampling process is computationally expensive. Consistency models are proposed to learn consistency functions to map from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Yiding Chen , Yiyi Zhang , Owen Oertell , Wen Sun

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Diffusion models have achieved huge empirical success in data generation tasks. Recently, some efforts have been made to adapt the framework of diffusion models to discrete state space, providing a more natural approach for modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Hongrui Chen , Lexing Ying

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Time course measurement of single molecules on a cell surface provides detailed information on the dynamics of the molecules, which is otherwise inaccessible. To extract the quantitative information, single particle tracking (SPT) is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-06 Shunsuke Teraguchi , Yutaro Kumagai

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

Even in large systems, the effect of noise arising from when populations are initially small can persist to be measurable on the macroscale. A deterministic approximation to a stochastic model will fail to capture this effect, but it can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Dylan Morris , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

Diffusion models have significantly advanced the fields of image, audio, and video generation, but they depend on an iterative sampling process that causes slow generation. To overcome this limitation, we propose consistency models, a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Yang Song , Prafulla Dhariwal , Mark Chen , Ilya Sutskever

Stochastic models of diffusion are routinely used to study dispersal of populations, including populations of animals, plants, seeds and cells. Advances in imaging and field measurement technologies mean that data are often collected across…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2026-05-18 Matthew J Simpson , Michael J Plank

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Diffusion models are a class of generative models that learn to synthesize samples by inverting a diffusion process that gradually maps data into noise. While these models have enjoyed great success recently, a full theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Raja Marjieh , Ilia Sucholutsky , Thomas A. Langlois , Nori Jacoby , Thomas L. Griffiths

Dispersal is often used by living beings to gather information from conspecifics, integrating it with personal experience to guide decision-making. This mechanism has only recently been studied experimentally, facilitated by advancements in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-03 Daniela Molas , Daniel Campos

A useful approach for analysing multiple time series is via characterising their spectral density matrix as the frequency domain analog of the covariance matrix. When the dimension of the time series is large compared to their length,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Mark Fiecas , Chenlei Leng , Weidong Liu , Yi Yu

We study the asymptotics of a two-dimensional stochastic differential system with a degenerate diffusion matrix. This system describes the dynamics of a population where individuals contribute to the degradation of their environment through…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Pierre Collet , Claire Ecotière , Sylvie Méléard

This paper studies a recently proposed continuous-time distributed self-appraisal model with time-varying interactions among a network of $n$ individuals which are characterized by a sequence of time-varying relative interaction matrices.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Weiguo Xia , Ji Liu , Tamer Basar , Xi-Ming Sun

We propose a new method for clustering multivariate time-series data based on Dynamic Linear Models. Whereas usual time-series clustering methods obtain static membership parameters, our proposal allows each time-series to dynamically…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Victhor S. Sartório , Thaís C. O. Fonseca

Generating realistic time series data is critical for applications in healthcare, finance, and science. However, irregular sampling and missing values present significant challenges. While prior methods address these irregularities, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Gal Fadlon , Idan Arbiv , Nimrod Berman , Omri Azencot