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Intuitively, unfamiliarity should lead to lack of confidence. In reality, current algorithms often make highly confident yet wrong predictions when faced with relevant but unfamiliar examples. A classifier we trained to recognize gender is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Zhizhong Li , Derek Hoiem

We propose an evaluation framework for class probability estimates (CPEs) in the presence of label uncertainty, which is commonly observed as diagnosis disagreement between experts in the medical domain. We also formalize evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Takahiro Mimori , Keiko Sasada , Hirotaka Matsui , Issei Sato

Machine learning applications require fast and reliable per-sample uncertainty estimation. A common approach is to use predictive distributions from Bayesian or approximation methods and additively decompose uncertainty into aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

Deep learning models are extensively used in various safety critical applications. Hence these models along with being accurate need to be highly reliable. One way of achieving this is by quantifying uncertainty. Bayesian methods for UQ…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Swaroop Bhandary K , Nico Hochgeschwender , Paul Plöger , Frank Kirchner , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

Speed-of-sound (SoS) is a biomechanical characteristic of tissue, and its imaging can provide a promising biomarker for diagnosis. Reconstructing SoS images from ultrasound acquisitions can be cast as a limited-angle computed-tomography…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Sonia Laguna , Lin Zhang , Can Deniz Bezek , Monika Farkas , Dieter Schweizer , Rahel A. Kubik-Huch , Orcun Goksel

Much research has been conducted on both face identification and face verification, with greater focus on the latter. Research on face identification has mostly focused on using closed-set protocols, which assume that all probe images used…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-22 Manuel Günther , Steve Cruz , Ethan M. Rudd , Terrance E. Boult

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Dense prediction tasks are common for 3D point clouds, but the uncertainties inherent in massive points and their embeddings have long been ignored. In this work, we present CUE, a novel uncertainty estimation method for dense prediction…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Kaiwen Cai , Chris Xiaoxuan Lu , Xiaowei Huang

Hardware-based Malware Detectors (HMDs) using Machine Learning (ML) models have shown promise in detecting malicious workloads. However, the conventional black-box based machine learning (ML) approach used in these HMDs fail to address the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Harshit Kumar , Nikhil Chawla , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

In medicine, both ethical and monetary costs of incorrect predictions can be significant, and the complexity of the problems often necessitates increasingly complex models. Recent work has shown that changing just the random seed is enough…

Being uncertain when facing the unknown is key to intelligent decision making. However, machine learning algorithms lack reliable estimates about their predictive uncertainty. This leads to wrong and overly-confident decisions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Mohamed Ishmael Belghazi , David Lopez-Paz

We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Janis Postels , Francesco Ferroni , Huseyin Coskun , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

Deep learning has played a major role in the interpretation of dermoscopic images for detecting skin defects and abnormalities. However, current deep learning solutions for dermatological lesion analysis are typically limited in providing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Gun-Hee Lee , Han-Bin Ko , Seong-Whan Lee

Evaluations of large-scale recognition methods typically focus on overall performance. While this approach is common, it often fails to provide insights into performance across individual classes, which can lead to fairness issues and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Ryan Rabinowitz , Steve Cruz , Manuel Günther , Terrance E. Boult

Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process. Mean-variance estimation networks can learn this type of uncertainty but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jiaxiang Yi , Miguel A. Bessa

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

This paper develops a Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling (HBM) framework for uncertainty quantification of Finite Element (FE) models based on modal information. This framework uses an existing Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) approach to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-02 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

The availability of many real-world driving datasets is a key reason behind the recent progress of object detection algorithms in autonomous driving. However, there exist ambiguity or even failures in object labels due to error-prone…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Di Feng , Zining Wang , Yiyang Zhou , Lars Rosenbaum , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

Transformer-based language models have set new benchmarks across a wide range of NLP tasks, yet reliably estimating the uncertainty of their predictions remains a significant challenge. Existing uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Elizaveta Kostenok , Daniil Cherniavskii , Alexey Zaytsev