English
Related papers

Related papers: Fact Probability Vector Based Goal Recognition

200 papers

Expected goals (xG) models estimate the probability that a shot results in a goal from its context (e.g., location, pressure), but they operate only on observed shots. We propose xG+, a possession-level framework that first estimates the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Jonathan Pipping-Gamón , Tianshu Feng , R. Paul Sabin

Accurate uncertainty estimates are essential for deploying deep object detectors in safety-critical systems. The development and evaluation of probabilistic object detectors have been hindered by shortcomings in existing performance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Georg Hess , Christoffer Petersson , Lennart Svensson

Autonomous agents require some form of goal and plan recognition to interact in multiagent settings. Unfortunately, all existing goal recognition datasets suffer from a systematical bias induced by the planning systems that generated them,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Mustafa F. Abdelwahed , Felipe Meneguzzi Kin Max Piamolini Gusmao , Joan Espasa

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

Goal recognition is an important problem in many application domains (e.g., pervasive computing, intrusion detection, computer games, etc.). In many application scenarios it is important that goal recognition algorithms can recognize goals…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Nils Wilken , Lea Cohausz , Johannes Schaum , Stefan Lüdtke , Christian Bartelt , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

This paper introduces a scalable approach for probabilistic top-k similarity ranking on uncertain vector data. Each uncertain object is represented by a set of vector instances that are assumed to be mutually-exclusive. The objective is to…

Databases · Computer Science 2009-07-17 Thomas Bernecker , Hans-Peter Kriegel , Nikos Mamoulis , Matthias Renz , Andreas Zuefle

We propose a novel scoring concept for visual place recognition based on nearest neighbor descriptor voting and demonstrate how the algorithm naturally emerges from the problem formulation. Based on the observation that the number of votes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Mathias Gehrig , Elena Stumm , Timo Hinzmann , Roland Siegwart

We present a new algorithm for probabilistic planning with no observability. Our algorithm, called Probabilistic-FF, extends the heuristic forward-search machinery of Conformant-FF to problems with probabilistic uncertainty about both the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-02 C. Domshlak , J. Hoffmann

Active Search and Tracking for search and rescue missions or collaborative mobile robotics relies on the actuation of a sensing platform to detect and localize a target. In this paper we focus on visually detecting a radio-emitting target…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 L. Varotto , A. Cenedese , A. Cavallaro

Accurately knowing uncertainties in appearance-based gaze tracking is critical for ensuring reliable downstream applications. Due to the lack of individual uncertainty labels, current uncertainty-aware approaches adopt probabilistic models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Qiaojie Zheng , Jiucai Zhang , Xiaoli Zhang

We consider the problem of detecting an odd process among a group of Poisson point processes, all having the same rate except the odd process. The actual rates of the odd and non-odd processes are unknown to the decision maker. We consider…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-24 Nidhin Koshy Vaidhiyan , Rajesh Sundaresan

Active perception approaches select future viewpoints by using some estimate of the information gain. An inaccurate estimate can be detrimental in critical situations, e.g., locating a person in distress. However the true information gained…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Siming He , Yuezhan Tao , Igor Spasojevic , Vijay Kumar , Pratik Chaudhari

To coordinate with other agents in its environment, an agent needs models of what the other agents are trying to do. When communication is impossible or expensive, this information must be acquired indirectly via plan recognition. Typical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Marcus J. Huber , Edmund H. Durfee , Michael P. Wellman

In grasp detection, the robot estimates the position and orientation of potential grasp configurations directly from sensor data. This paper explores the relationship between viewpoint and grasp detection performance. Specifically, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Marcus Gualtieri , Robert Platt

We propose a new approach to value-directed belief state approximation for POMDPs. The value-directed model allows one to choose approximation methods for belief state monitoring that have a small impact on decision quality. Using a vector…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Pascal Poupart , Craig Boutilier

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus past results often do not reflect the performances of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-07 Edward Wheatcroft , Ewelina Sienkiewicz

Computer Vision developments are enabling significant advances in many fields, including sports. Many applications built on top of Computer Vision technologies, such as tracking data, are nowadays essential for every top-level analyst,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Classical planning aims to find a sequence of actions, a plan, that maps a starting state into one of the goal states. If a trajectory appears to be leading to the goal, should we prioritise exploring it? Seminal work in goal recognition…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Giacomo Rosa , Jean Honorio , Nir Lipovetzky , Sebastian Sardina

Visual tracking is fundamentally the problem of regressing the state of the target in each video frame. While significant progress has been achieved, trackers are still prone to failures and inaccuracies. It is therefore crucial to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Martin Danelljan , Luc Van Gool , Radu Timofte