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The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

Motivated by the fundamental problem of modeling the frequency of frequencies (FoF) distribution, this paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a probability function that governs the joint distribution of a random…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-02 Mingyuan Zhou , Stefano Favaro , Stephen G Walker

Stable distributions are of fundamental importance in probability theory, yet their absolute continuity makes them unsuitable for modeling count data. A discrete analog of strict stability has been previously proposed by replacing scaling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-09 F. William Townes

Given a Gaussian Markov random field, we consider the problem of selecting a subset of variables to observe which minimizes the total expected squared prediction error of the unobserved variables. We first show that finding an exact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-27 Satyaki Mahalanabis , Daniel Stefankovic

We describe a new construction of a family of measures on a group with the same Poisson boundary. Our approach is based on applying Markov stopping times to an extension of the original random walk.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-20 Behrang Forghani

Triplet Markov chains are general generative models for sequential data which take into account three kinds of random variables: (noisy) observations, their associated discrete labels and latent variables which aim at strengthening the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Katherine Morales , Yohan Petetin

Parametric distributions are an important part of statistics. There is now a voluminous literature on different fascinating formulations of flexible distributions. We present a selective and brief overview of a small subset of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We investigate the class of $\sigma$-stable Poisson-Kingman random probability measures (RPMs) in the context of Bayesian nonparametric mixture modeling. This is a large class of discrete RPMs which encompasses most of the the popular…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-22 María Lomelí , Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

A Markov chain is considered whose states are orderings of an underlying fixed tree and whose transitions are local "random-to-front" reorderings, driven by a probability distribution on subsets of the leaves. The eigenvalues of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Anders Björner

We consider the random Markov matrix obtained by assigning i.i.d. non-negative weights to each edge of the complete oriented graph. In this study, the weights have unbounded first moment and belong to the domain of attraction of an…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafaï , Daniele Piras

We construct a family of self-similar Markov martingales with given marginal distributions. This construction uses the self-similarity and Markov property of a reference process to produce a family of Markov processes that possess the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Fima Klebaner

Stochastic models of evolution (Markov random fields on trivalent trees) generally assume that different characters (different runs of the stochastic process) are independent and identically distributed. In this paper we take the first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-28 Deeparnab Chakrabarty , Sampath Kannan , Kevin Tian

The random numbers driving Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation are usually modeled as independent U(0,1) random variables. Tribble [Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms using completely uniformly distributed driving sequences (2007)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-11 S. Chen , J. Dick , A. B. Owen

Probabilistic programs with mixed support (both continuous and discrete latent random variables) commonly appear in many probabilistic programming systems (PPSs). However, the existence of the discrete random variables prohibits many basic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-06 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Hongseok Yang

A novel strategy that combines a given collection of $\pi$-reversible Markov kernels is proposed. At each Markov transition, one of the available kernels is selected via a state-dependent probability distribution. In contrast to random-scan…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Florian Maire , Pierre Vandekerkhove

A covariance graph is an undirected graph associated with a multivariate probability distribution of a given random vector where each vertex represents each of the different components of the random vector and where the absence of an edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Dhafer Malouche , Bala Rajaratnam

We study a compound Poisson random field on plane and examine its various fractional variants. We derive the distributions of these random fields and in some particular cases, obtain their associated system of governing differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 P. Vishwakarma , K. K. Kataria

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is a widely recognised as an efficient method for sampling a specified posterior distribution. However, when the posterior is multi-modal, conventional MCMC algorithms either tend to become…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-19 Yi-Ming Hu , Martin Hendry , Ik Siong Heng

Given a finite typed rooted tree $T$ with $n$ vertices, the {\em empirical subtree measure} is the uniform measure on the $n$ typed subtrees of $T$ formed by taking all descendants of a single vertex. We prove a large deviation principle in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amir Dembo , Peter Morters , Scott Sheffield

This paper gives a method for computing distributions associated with patterns in the state sequence of a hidden Markov model, conditional on observing all or part of the observation sequence. Probabilities are computed for very general…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-18 John A. D. Aston , Donald E. K. Martin