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We propose a counterfactual approach to train ``causality-aware" predictive models that are able to leverage causal information in static anticausal machine learning tasks (i.e., prediction tasks where the outcome influences the features).…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-01 Elias Chaibub Neto

We introduce a causal modeling framework that captures the input-output behavior of predictive models (e.g., machine learning models). The framework enables us to identify features that directly cause the predictions, which has broad…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Yizuo Chen , Amit Bhatia

Machine learning (ML) is becoming increasingly crucial in many fields of engineering but has not yet played out its full potential in bioprocess engineering. While experimentation has been accelerated by increasing levels of lab automation,…

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and its data-centric branch of machine learning (ML) have greatly evolved over the last few decades. However, as AI is used increasingly in real world use cases, the importance of the interpretability of and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 N. Ranasinghe , A. Ramanan , S. Fernando , P. N. Hameed , D. Herath , T. Malepathirana , P. Suganthan , M. Niranjan , S. Halgamuge

This paper provides robust, new evidence on the causal drivers of market troughs. We demonstrate that conclusions about these triggers are critically sensitive to model specification, moving beyond restrictive linear models with a flexible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Peilin Rao , Randall R. Rojas

The causal capabilities of large language models (LLMs) are a matter of significant debate, with critical implications for the use of LLMs in societally impactful domains such as medicine, science, law, and policy. We conduct a "behavorial"…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Emre Kıcıman , Robert Ness , Amit Sharma , Chenhao Tan

Causal inference is a study of causal relationships between events and the statistical study of inferring these relationships through interventions and other statistical techniques. Causal reasoning is any line of work toward determining…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Patrick Chadbourne , Nasir Eisty

Artificial intelligence (AI) is currently spearheaded by machine learning (ML) methods such as deep learning which have accelerated progress on many tasks thought to be out of reach of AI. These recent ML methods are often compute hungry,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Dustin Wright , Christian Igel , Gabrielle Samuel , Raghavendra Selvan

The transition to prescriptive maintenance (PsM) in manufacturing is critically constrained by a dependence on predictive models. Such purely predictive models tend to capture statistical associations in the data without identifying the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Felix Saretzky , Lucas Andersen , Thomas Engel , Fazel Ansari

In many scientific disciplines, coarse-grained causal models are used to explain and predict the dynamics of more fine-grained systems. Naturally, such models require appropriate macrovariables. Automated procedures to detect suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Benedikt Höltgen

This study addresses the vital role of data analytics in monitoring fertiliser applications in crop cultivation. Inaccurate fertiliser application decisions can lead to costly consequences, hinder food production, and cause environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Usama Ikhlaq , Tahar Kechadi

Advances in single-cell omics allow for unprecedented insights into the transcription profiles of individual cells. When combined with large-scale perturbation screens, through which specific biological mechanisms can be targeted, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Alejandro Tejada-Lapuerta , Paul Bertin , Stefan Bauer , Hananeh Aliee , Yoshua Bengio , Fabian J. Theis

Doubly robust learning offers a robust framework for causal inference from observational data by integrating propensity score and outcome modeling. Despite its theoretical appeal, practical adoption remains limited due to perceived…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-09 Hlynur Davíð Hlynsson

Explainable machine learning (ML) enables human learning from ML, human appeal of automated model decisions, regulatory compliance, and security audits of ML models. Explainable ML (i.e. explainable artificial intelligence or XAI) has been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Patrick Hall , Navdeep Gill , Nicholas Schmidt

We argue that interpretations of machine learning (ML) models or the model-building process can be seen as a form of sensitivity analysis (SA), a general methodology used to explain complex systems in many fields such as environmental…

Both industry and academia have made considerable progress in developing trustworthy and responsible machine learning (ML) systems. While critical concepts like fairness and explainability are often addressed, the safety of systems is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Patrick Kaiser , Christoph Kern , David Rügamer

Automated decision making is used routinely throughout our everyday life. Recommender systems decide which jobs, movies, or other user profiles might be interesting to us. Spell checkers help us to make good use of language. Fraud detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Alexander Jung , Pedro H. J. Nardelli

As systems are getting more autonomous with the development of artificial intelligence, it is important to discover the causal knowledge from observational sensory inputs. By encoding a series of cause-effect relations between events,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Yuhao Wang , Vlado Menkovski , Hao Wang , Xin Du , Mykola Pechenizkiy

The cause-to-effect analysis can help us decompose all the likely causes of a problem, such as an undesirable business situation or unintended harm to the individual(s). This implies that we can identify how the problems are inherited, rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Moses Openja , Gabriel Laberge , Foutse Khomh

This PhD thesis investigates the societal impact of machine learning (ML). ML increasingly informs consequential decisions and recommendations, significantly affecting many aspects of our lives. As these data-driven systems are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Joachim Baumann