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Recently, there has been a surge in interest in safe and robust techniques within reinforcement learning (RL). Current notions of risk in RL fail to capture the potential for systemic failures such as abrupt stoppages from system failures…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-09 David Mguni

In this article, we employ a principal-agent model to analyze optimal contract design in a monopolistic reinsurance market under adverse selection with a continuum of insurer types. Instead of using the classical expected utility framework,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Ka Chun Cheung , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam , Fei Lung Yuen , Yiying Zhang

The optimal stopping problem for the risk process with interests rates and when claims are covered immediately is considered. An insurance company receives premiums and pays out claims which have occured according to a renewal process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-23 Bogdan K. Muciek , Krzysztof J. Szajowski

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

This work examines under what circumstances adaptivity for truncated SVD estimation can be achieved by an early stopping rule based on the smoothed residuals $ \| ( A A^{\top} )^{\alpha / 2} ( Y - A \hat{\mu}^{( m )}) \|^{2} $. Lower and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Bernhard Stankewitz

This paper investigates an optimal investment problem under the tail Value at Risk (tail VaR, also known as expected shortfall, conditional VaR, average VaR) and portfolio insurance constraints confronted by a defined-contribution pension…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Hui Mi , Zuo Quan Xu , Dongfang Yang

Optimization problems with an auxiliary latent variable structure in addition to the main model parameters occur frequently in computer vision and machine learning. The additional latent variables make the underlying optimization task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Christopher Zach , Huu Le

This paper is devoted to study the effects arising from imposing a value-at-risk (VaR) constraint in mean-variance portfolio selection problem for an investor who receives a stochastic cash flow which he/she must then invest in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Jun Ye , Tiantian Li

This paper studies a Value-at-Risk (VaR)-regulated optimal portfolio problem of the equity holders of a participating life insurance contract. In a setting with unhedgeable mortality risk and complete financial market, the optimal solution…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Thai Nguyen , Mitja Stadje

We consider a market consisting of one safe and one risky asset, which offer constant investment opportunities. Taking into account both proportional transaction costs and linear price impact, we derive optimal rebalancing policies for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-05 Ren Liu , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marko H. Weber

In this paper, we study a stochastic optimal control problem with stochastic volatility. We prove the sufficient and necessary maximum principle for the proposed problem. Then we apply the results to solve an investment, consumption and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-15 Rodwell Kufakunesu , Calisto Guambe

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper we consider reinsurance or risk sharing from a macroeconomic point of view. Our aim is to find socially optimal reinsurance treaties. In our setting we assume that there are $n$ insurance companies each bearing a certain risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Alexander Glauner

We consider estimating an expected infinite-horizon cumulative discounted cost/reward contingent on an underlying stochastic process by Monte Carlo simulation. An unbiased estimator based on truncating the cumulative cost at a random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Zhenyu Cui , Michael C. Fu , Yijie Peng , Lingjiong Zhu

A usual reinsurance policy for insurance companies admits one or two layers of the payment deductions. Under optimal criterion of minimizing the conditional tail expectation (CTE) risk measure of the insurer's total risk, this article…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Ali Panahi Bazaz

We tackle the problem of estimating risk measures of the infinite-horizon discounted cost within a Markov cost process. The risk measures we study include variance, Value-at-Risk (VaR), and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). First, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Gugan Thoppe , L. A. Prashanth , Sanjay Bhat

We study a linear-quadratic, optimal control problem on a discrete, finite time horizon with distributional ambiguity, in which the cost is assessed via Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). We take steps toward deriving a scalable dynamic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Laurent Lessard

We develop a theory for solving continuous time optimal stopping problems for non-linear expectations. Our motivation is to consider problems in which the stopper uses risk measures to evaluate future rewards.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

We consider an optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer under the mean-variance (MV) criterion. By introducing a deterministic auxiliary process defined forward in time, we formulate an alternative time-consistent problem…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

We consider the optimal risk transfer from an insurance company to a reinsurer. The problem formulation considered in this paper is closely connected to the optimal portfolio problem in finance, with some crucial distinctions. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Benjamin Avanzi , Hayden Lau , Mogens Steffensen