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We review previous approaches to nowcasting earthquakes and introduce new approaches based on deep learning using three distinct models based on recurrent neural networks and transformers. We discuss different choices for observables and…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-07 Geoffrey Fox , John Rundle , Andrea Donnellan , Bo Feng

Geoscience and seismology have utilized the most advanced technologies and equipment to monitor seismic events globally from the past few decades. With the enormous amount of data, modern GPU-powered deep learning presents a promising…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-14 Bo Feng , Geoffrey C. Fox

This paper develops a novel method, based on hidden Markov models, to forecast earthquakes and applies the method to mainshock seismic activity in southern California and western Nevada. The forecasts are of the probability of a mainshock…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-21 Daniel W. Chambers , Jenny A. Baglivo , John E. Ebel , Alan L. Kafka

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Reliable earthquake forecasting methods have long been sought after, and so the rise of modern data science techniques raises a new question: does deep learning have the potential to learn this pattern? In this study, we leverage the large…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Jonas Koehler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Ruempker , Nishtha Srivastava

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 John A. Miller , Mohammed Aldosari , Farah Saeed , Nasid Habib Barna , Subas Rana , I. Budak Arpinar , Ninghao Liu

We propose a new deep learning model, WaveCastNet, to forecast high-dimensional wavefields. WaveCastNet integrates a convolutional long expressive memory architecture into a sequence-to-sequence forecasting framework, enabling it to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dongwei Lyu , Rie Nakata , Pu Ren , Michael W. Mahoney , Arben Pitarka , Nori Nakata , N. Benjamin Erichson

Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using observable seismic data, in which probabilities of future large earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-21 John B. Rundle , Geoffrey Fox , Andrea Donnellan , Lisa Grant Ludwig

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Precipitation Nowcasting, which aims to predict precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours, is critical for disaster mitigation and real-time response planning. However, most time series forecasting benchmarks in meteorology are evaluated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Yifang Zhang , Shengwu Xiong , Henan Wang , Wenjie Yin , Jiawang Peng , Yuqiang Zhang , Chen Zhou , Hua Chen , Qile Zhao , Pengfei Duan

Contemporary deep learning models have demonstrated promising results across various applications within seismology and earthquake engineering. These models rely primarily on utilizing ground motion records for tasks such as earthquake…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-06 Ümit Mert Çağlar , Baris Yilmaz , Melek Türkmen , Erdem Akagündüz , Salih Tileylioglu

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

Forecasting earthquake sequences remains a central challenge in seismology, particularly under non-stationary conditions. While deep learning models have shown promise, their ability to generalize across time remains poorly understood. We…

Seismic waveforms contain rich information about earthquake processes, making effective data analysis crucial for earthquake monitoring, source characterization, and seismic hazard assessment. With rapid developments in deep learning, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-10 Weiqiang Zhu , Junhao Song , Haoyu Wang , Jannes Münchmeyer

Recent advances in deep learning have driven rapid progress in time series forecasting, yet many state-of-the-art models continue to struggle with robust performance in real-world applications, even when they achieve strong results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Qitai Tan , Yiyun Chen , Mo Li , Ruiwen Gu , Yilin Su , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Christopher J. Mattioli , Mark S. Veillette

Precise real time estimates of earthquake magnitude and location are essential for early warning and rapid response. While recently multiple deep learning approaches for fast assessment of earthquakes have been proposed, they usually rely…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-15 Jannes Münchmeyer , Dino Bindi , Ulf Leser , Frederik Tilmann

Time series forecasting is a critical task that provides key information for decision-making. After traditional statistical and machine learning approaches, various fundamental deep learning architectures such as MLPs, CNNs, RNNs, and GNNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Jongseon Kim , Hyungjoon Kim , HyunGi Kim , Dongjun Lee , Sungroh Yoon

In the last few years, deep learning has solved seemingly intractable problems, boosting the hope to find approximate solutions to problems that now are considered unsolvable. Earthquake prediction, the Grail of Seismology, is, in this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Arnaud Mignan , Marco Broccardo
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