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Renewable energy forecasting is the workhorse for efficient energy dispatch. However, forecasts with small mean squared errors (MSE) may not necessarily lead to low operation costs. Here, we propose a forecasting approach specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yuexin Bian , Yuanyuan Shi

Solar flares are caused by magnetic eruptions in active regions (ARs) on the surface of the sun. These events can have significant impacts on human activity, many of which can be mitigated with enough advance warning from good forecasts. To…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-18 Varad Deshmukh , Thomas Berger , James Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

We propose a novel loss function that dynamically rescales the cross entropy based on prediction difficulty regarding a sample. Deep neural network architectures in image classification tasks struggle to disambiguate visually similar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Serim Ryou , Seong-Gyun Jeong , Pietro Perona

Recent advancements in data-driven weather forecasting models have delivered deterministic models that outperform the leading operational forecast systems based on traditional, physics-based models. However, these data-driven models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Christopher Subich , Syed Zahid Husain , Leo Separovic , Jing Yang

Space weather phenomena such as solar flares, have massive destructive power when reaches certain amount of magnitude. Such high magnitude solar flare event can interfere space-earth radio communications and neutralize space-earth…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-19 Vlad Landa , Yuval Reuveni

In a typical sound event detection (SED) system, the existence of a sound event is detected at a frame level, and consecutive frames with the same event detected are combined as one sound event. The median filter is applied as a…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Tao Song

The Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE) continuously monitors hundreds of thousands of eclipsing binaries in the field of galactic bulge and the Magellanic Clouds. These objects have been classified into main morphological…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-30 Attila Bódi , Tamás Hajdu

This study explores the behavior of machine learning-based flare forecasting models deployed in a simulated operational environment. Using Georgia State University's Space Weather Analytics for Solar Flares benchmark dataset (Angryk et al.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-09 Griffin T. Goodwin , Viacheslav M. Sadykov , Petrus C. Martens

We describe a new tool developed for solar flare forecasting on the base of some sunspot group properties. Assuming that the flare frequency follows the Poisson statistics, this tool uses a database containing the morphological…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-16 M. Falco , P. Costa , P. Romano

The $F_\beta$ score is a commonly used measure of classification performance, which plays crucial roles in classification tasks with imbalanced data sets. However, the $F_\beta$ score cannot be used as a loss function by gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Namgil Lee , Heejung Yang , Hojin Yoo

Binary measurements arise naturally in a variety of statistical and engineering applications. They may be inherent to the problem---e.g., in determining the relationship between genetics and the presence or absence of a disease---or they…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-01 Richard Baraniuk , Simon Foucart , Deanna Needell , Yaniv Plan , Mary Wootters

Solar flares originate from magnetically active regions but not all solar active regions give rise to a flare. Therefore, the challenge of solar flare prediction benefits by an intelligent computational analysis of physics-based properties…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-09 Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Anna Maria Massone , D Shaun Bloomfield , Manolis K Georgoulis , Michele Piana

We investigate the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Decomposition-LSTM (DLSTM) networks, combined with an ensemble algorithm, to predict solar flare occurrences using time-series data from the GOES catalog. The dataset spans from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zeinab Hassani , Davud Mohammadpur , Hossein Safari

The operating state of bearing directly affects the performance of rotating machinery and how to accurately and decisively extract features from the original vibration signal and recognize the faulty parts as early as possible is very…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-03 Haiquan Wang , Wenxuan Yue , Shengjun Wen , Xiaobin Xu , Menghao Su , Shanshan Zhang , Panpan Du

Eclipsing binaries provide one of the most direct mechanisms for measuring stellar properties such as mass and radius, but historically, determining these properties has been non-trivial and computationally prohibitive. As such, only a…

Optimal decision making requires that classifiers produce uncertainty estimates consistent with their empirical accuracy. However, deep neural networks are often under- or over-confident in their predictions. Consequently, methods have been…

With the recent advancement in the deep learning technologies such as CNNs and GANs, there is significant improvement in the quality of the images reconstructed by deep learning based super-resolution (SR) techniques. In this work, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Ram Krishna Pandey , Nabagata Saha , Samarjit Karmakar , A G Ramakrishnan

Over-the-air computation is a communication-efficient solution for federated learning (FL). In such a system, iterative procedure is performed: Local gradient of private loss function is updated, amplified and then transmitted by every…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Rongfei Fan , Xuming An , Shiyuan Zuo , Han Hu

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) solar soft X-ray (SXR) irradiance in the 1-8{\AA} wavelength range is a long-standing measure of solar activity, used to define the classification of flare strengths. As a result,…

Session-based recommendation systems(SBRS) are more suitable for the current e-commerce and streaming media recommendation scenarios and thus have become a hot topic. The data encountered by SBRS is typically highly sparse, which also…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Zihan Wang , Gang Wu , Haotong Wang