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In this paper, we examine the concept of the predict and optimise problem with specific reference to the third Technical Challenge of the IEEE Computational Intelligence Society. In this competition, entrants were asked to forecast building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Richard Bean

The prediction of solar flares is still a significant challenge in space weather research, with no techniques currently capable of producing reliable forecasts performing significantly above climatology. In this paper, we present a flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Christian Thibeault , Antoine Strugarek , Paul Charbonneau , Benoit Tremblay

Solar flare forecasting can be realized by means of the analysis of magnetic data through artificial intelligence techniques. The aim is to predict whether a magnetic active region (AR) will originate solar flares above a certain class…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-29 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

The goal of image ordinal estimation is to estimate the ordinal label of a given image with a convolutional neural network. Existing methods are mainly based on ordinal regression and particularly focus on modeling the ordinal mapping from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yiming Lei , Zilong Li , Yangyang Li , Junping Zhang , Hongming Shan

A functional time series approach is proposed for investigating spatial correlation in daily maximum temperature forecast errors for 111 cities spread across the U.S. The modelling of spatial correlation is most fruitful for longer forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Phillip A. Jang , David S. Matteson

As a natural extension to the standard conformal prediction method, several conformal risk control methods have been recently developed and applied to various learning problems. In this work, we seek to control the conformal risk in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

The margin-based softmax loss functions greatly enhance intra-class compactness and perform well on the tasks of face recognition and object classification. Outperformance, however, depends on the careful hyperparameter selection. Moreover,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-18 JT Wu , L. Wang

We present a comparative study of transformer-based architectures for solar flare forecasting using heterogeneous data modalities, including images, video sequences, and time-series observations. Our analysis evaluates three recent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-05 S. Riggi , P. Romano , A. Pilzer , U. Becciani

Edge detection (ED) is a fundamental perceptual process in computer vision, forming the structural basis for high-level reasoning tasks such as segmentation, recognition, and scene understanding. Despite substantial progress achieved by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Hao Shu

A key ethical challenge in Automated Essay Scoring (AES) is ensuring that scores are only released when they meet high reliability standards. Confidence modelling addresses this by assigning a reliability estimate measure, in the form of a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Abhirup Chakravarty , Mark Brenchley , Trevor Breakspear , Ian Lewin , Yan Huang

The assessment of binary classifier performance traditionally centers on discriminative ability using metrics, such as accuracy. However, these metrics often disregard the model's inherent uncertainty, especially when dealing with sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

Disturbances in space weather can negatively affect several fields, including aviation and aerospace, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are the most…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-07 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

Binary code search plays a crucial role in applications like software reuse detection. Currently, existing models are typically based on either internal code semantics or a combination of function call graphs (CG) and internal code…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yongpan Wang , Hong Li , Xiaojie Zhu , Siyuan Li , Chaopeng Dong , Shouguo Yang , Kangyuan Qin

Binary optimization, a representative subclass of discrete optimization, plays an important role in mathematical optimization and has various applications in computer vision and machine learning. Usually, binary optimization problems are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Huan Xiong , Mengyang Yu , Li Liu , Fan Zhu , Fumin Shen , Ling Shao

In computer vision, it is often observed that formulating regression problems as a classification task often yields better performance. We investigate this curious phenomenon and provide a derivation to show that classification, with the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Shihao Zhang , Linlin Yang , Michael Bi Mi , Xiaoxu Zheng , Angela Yao

Two new methods are proposed for linear regression analysis for data with measurement errors. Both methods are designed to accommodate intrinsic scatter in addition to measurement errors. The first (BCES) is a direct extension of the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Michael G. Akritas , Matthew A. Bershady

Solar flares are defined as outbursts on the surface of the Sun. They occur when energy accumulated in magnetic fields enclosing solar active regions (ARs) is abruptly expelled. Solar flares and associated coronal mass ejections are sources…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Huseyin Cavus , Jason T. L. Wang , Teja P. S. Singampalli , Gani Caglar Coban , Hongyang Zhang , Abd-ur Raheem , Haimin Wang

We introduce a hybrid approach to solar flare prediction, whereby a supervised regularization method is used to realize feature importance and an unsupervised clustering method is used to realize the binary flare/no-flare decision. The…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-07 Federico Benvenuto , Michele Piana , Cristina Campi , Anna Maria Massone

This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning models in predicting $\geq$M-class solar flares with a prediction window of 24 hours, using hourly sampled full-disk line-of-sight (LoS) magnetogram images, particularly focusing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Various tasks are reformulated as multi-label classification problems, in which the binary cross-entropy (BCE) loss is frequently utilized for optimizing well-designed models. However, the vanilla BCE loss cannot be tailored for diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Yusheng Huang , Jiexing Qi , Xinbing Wang , Zhouhan Lin