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The stock market is a crucial component of the financial market, playing a vital role in wealth accumulation for investors, financing costs for listed companies, and the stable development of the national macroeconomy. Significant…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Jiajian Zheng , Duan Xin , Qishuo Cheng , Miao Tian , Le Yang

Financial market is an example of complex system, which is characterized by a highly intricate organization and the emergence of collective behavior. In this paper, we quantify this emergent dynamics in the financial market by using…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Thomas Kauê Dal'Maso Peron , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Link prediction is an important network science problem in many domains such as social networks, chem/bio-informatics, etc. Most of these networks are dynamic in nature with patterns evolving over time. In such cases, it is necessary to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-18 Jeyanthi Narasimhan , Lawrence Holder

It is a fundamental challenge to understand how the function of a network is related to its structural organization. Adaptive dynamical networks represent a broad class of systems that can change their connectivity over time depending on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-04-13 Rico Berner , Thilo Gross , Christian Kuehn , Jürgen Kurths , Serhiy Yanchuk

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas

Recurrent neural networks and sequence to sequence models require a predetermined length for prediction output length. Our model addresses this by allowing the network to predict a variable length output in inference. A new loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Mark Harmon , Diego Klabjan

In this paper, we study the connection between the companies in the Swedish capital market. We consider 28 companies included in the determination of the market index OMX30. The network structure of the market is constructed using different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-01 Elena Farahbakhsh Touli , Hoang Nguyen , Olha Bodnar

Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

In order to model volatile real-world network behavior, we analyze phase-flipping dynamical scale-free network in which nodes and links fail and recover. We investigate how stochasticity in a parameter governing the recovery process affects…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 B. Podobnik , A. Majdandzic , C. Curme , Z. Qiao , W. -X. Zhou , H. E. Stanley , B. Li

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

Networks effectively capture interactions among components of complex systems, and have thus become a mainstay in many scientific disciplines. Growing evidence, especially from biology, suggest that networks undergo changes over time, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Ali Shojaie

The need to build a link between the structure of a complex network and the dynamical properties of the corresponding complex system (comprised of multiple low dimensional systems) has recently become apparent. Several attempts to tackle…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-06-18 Michael Small , Kevin Judd , Thomas Stemler

The stock market is a network which provides a platform for almost all major economic transactions. While investing in the stock market is a good idea, investing in individual stocks may not be, especially for the casual investor. Smart…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-30 Om Mane , Saravanakumar kandasamy

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

We derive an exact representation of the topological effect on the dynamics of sequence processing neural networks within signal-to-noise analysis. A new network structure parameter, loopiness coefficient, is introduced to quantitatively…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-05-11 Pan Zhang , Yong Chen

The random matrix theory is used to bridge the network structures and the dynamical processes defined on them. We propose a possible dynamical mechanism for the enhancement effect of network structures on synchronization processes, based…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Huijie Yang , Fangcui Zhao , Binghong Wang

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley