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We propose a new Kalikow decomposition for continuous time multivariate counting processes, on potentially infinite networks. We prove the existence of such a decomposition in various cases. This decomposition allows us to derive simulation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Tien Cuong Phi , Eva Löcherbach , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

In this note we present new examples of determinantal point processes with infinitely many particles. The particles live on the half-lattice {1,2,...} or on the open half-line (0,+\infty). The main result is the computation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Leonid Petrov

Fragmentation processes are part of a broad class of models describing the evolution of a system of particles which split apart at random. These models are widely used in biology, materials science and nuclear physics, and their asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Quan Shi , Alexander R. Watson

We approximate stochastic processes in finite dimension by dynamical systems. We provide trajectorial estimates which are uniform with respect to the initial condition for a well chosen distance. This relies on some non-expansivity property…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-11 Vincent Bansaye

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

We present a perfect simulation algorithm for stationary processes indexed by Z, with summable memory decay. Depending on the decay, we construct the process on finite or semi-infinite intervals, explicitly from an i.i.d. uniform sequence.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Francis Comets , Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

This paper gives a complete characterization of infinitely divisible semimartingales, i.e., semimartingales whose finite dimensional distributions are infinitely divisible. An explicit and essentially unique decomposition of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Jan Rosinski

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

In classical physics, memoryless dynamics and Markovian statistics are one and the same. This is not true for quantum dynamics, first and foremost because quantum measurements are invasive. Going beyond measurement invasiveness, here we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-02 Philip Taranto , Thomas J. Elliott , Simon Milz

We investigate the (functional) convex order of for various continuous martingale processes, either with respect to their diffusions coefficients for L\'evy-driven SDEs or their integrands for stochastic integrals. Main results are bordered…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Gilles Pagès

Using a martingale concentration inequality, concentration bounds `from time $n_0$ on' are derived for stochastic approximation algorithms with contractive maps and both martingale difference and Markov noises. These are applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Siddharth Chandak , Vivek S. Borkar , Parth Dodhia

We prove fluctuation bounds for the particle current in totally asymmetric zero range processes in one dimension with nondecreasing, concave jump rates whose slope decays exponentially. Fluctuations in the characteristic directions have…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-25 M. Balázs , J. Komjáthy , T. Seppäläinen

These notes give a summary of techniques used in large deviation theory to study the fluctuations of time-additive quantities, called dynamical observables, defined in the context of Langevin-type equations, which model equilibrium and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-29 Hugo Touchette

We present a derivation of a coarse-grained model from the Langevin dynamics. The focus is placed on the memory kernel function and the fluctuation-dissipation theorem. Also presented is an hierarchy of approximations for the memory and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Lina Ma , Xiantao Li , Chun Liu

The generalized Langevin equation is a model for the motion of coarse-grained particles where dissipative forces are represented by a memory term. The numerical realization of such a model requires the implementation of a stochastic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-05-26 Niklas Bockius , Jeanine Shea , Gerhard Jung , Friederike Schmid , Martin Hanke

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag