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Related papers: Improved thresholds for e-values

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We study --both in theory and practice-- the use of momentum motions in classic iterative hard thresholding (IHT) methods. By simply modifying plain IHT, we investigate its convergence behavior on convex optimization criteria with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Rajiv Khanna , Anastasios Kyrillidis

We show that a simple modification of the surface code can exhibit an enormous gain in the error correction threshold for a noise model in which Pauli Z errors occur more frequently than X or Y errors. Such biased noise, where dephasing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-07 David K. Tuckett , Stephen D. Bartlett , Steven T. Flammia

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu

A tunable measure for information leakage called \textit{maximal $\alpha$-leakage} is introduced. This measure quantifies the maximal gain of an adversary in refining a tilted version of its prior belief of any (potentially random) function…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Jiachun Liao , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar , Flavio P. Calmon

We investigate adaptive single-trial error/erasure decoding of binary codes whose decoder is able to correct e errors and t erasures if le+t<=d-1. Thereby, d is the minimum Hamming distance of the code and 1<l<=2 is the tradeoff parameter…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-05-03 Christian Senger , Vladimir R. Sidorenko , Steffen Schober , Martin Bossert , Victor V. Zyablov

Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Yanbo Tang , Radu Craiu , Lei Sun

We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called $\alpha$-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of $\alpha$-VB with $\alpha=1$. When…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

In threshold-based anomaly detection, we want to tune the threshold of a detector to achieve an acceptable false alarm rate. However, tuning the threshold is often a non-trivial task due to unknown detector output distributions. A detector…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-02 David Umsonst , Justin Ruths , Henrik Sandberg

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-value - a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jeffrey D. Blume , Lucy DAgostino McGowan , William D. Dupont , Robert A. Greevy

We put forward an adaptive alpha (Type I Error) that decreases as the information grows, for hypothesis tests in which nested linear models are compared. A less elaborate adaptation was already presented in \citet{PP2014} for comparing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 D. Vélez , M. E. Pérez , L. R. Pericchi

Value-based reinforcement-learning algorithms have shown strong results in games, robotics, and other real-world applications. Overestimation bias is a known threat to those algorithms and can sometimes lead to dramatic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Martin Waltz , Ostap Okhrin

Designs conditions for marine structures are typically informed by threshold-based extreme value analyses of oceanographic variables, in which excesses of a high threshold are modelled by a generalized Pareto (GP) distribution. Too low a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-02 Paul Northrop , Nicolas Attalides , Philip Jonathan

An unknown vector f in R^n can be recovered from corrupted measurements y = Af + e where A^(m*n)(m>n) is the coding matrix if the unknown error vector e is sparse. We investigate the relationship of the fraction of errors and the recovering…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-03 Meng Wang , Weiyu Xu , Ao Tang

Iterative thresholding algorithms seek to optimize a differentiable objective function over a sparsity or rank constraint by alternating between gradient steps that reduce the objective, and thresholding steps that enforce the constraint.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-01 Haoyang Liu , Rina Foygel Barber

Sequential tests and their implied confidence sequences, which are valid at arbitrary stopping times, promise flexible statistical inference and on-the-fly decision making. However, strong guarantees are limited to parametric sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Michael Lindon

We propose the use of a simple intuitive principle for measuring algorithmic classification bias: the significance of the differences in a classifier's error rates across the various demographics is inversely commensurate with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Ioannis Ivrissimtzis , Shauna Concannon , Matthew Houliston , Graham Roberts

E-variables are nonnegative random variables with expected value at most one under any distribution from a given null hypothesis. Every nonasymptotically valid test can be obtained by thresholding some e-variable. As such, e-variables arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Martin Larsson , Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf

In this paper we consider estimation of sparse covariance matrices and propose a thresholding procedure which is adaptive to the variability of individual entries. The estimators are fully data driven and enjoy excellent performance both…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-14 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu

In distributed detection systems, energy-efficient ordered transmission (EEOT) schemes are able to reduce the number of transmissions required to make a final decision. In this work, we investigate the effect of data falsification attacks…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-22 Chen Quan , Nandan Sriranga , Haodong Yang , Yunghsiang S. Han , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney

The classical theory for the meta-analysis of $p$-values is based on the assumption that if the overall null hypothesis is true, then all $p$-values used in a chosen combined test statistic are genuine, i.e., are observations from…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-08 Rui Santos , M. Fátima Brilhante , Sandra Mendonça