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In recent years, deep learning has proven to be a viable methodology for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification for a vast number of physical systems. However, in their traditional form, such models can require a large amount of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-04 Nicholas Geneva , Nicholas Zabaras

Slurry transportation via pipelines is essential for global industries, offering efficiency and environmental benefits. Specifically, the precise calibration of physical parameters for transporting raw phosphate material to fertilizer…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-13 Marwane Elkarii , Radouan Boukharfane , Nabil El Moçayd

Uncertainty quantification during atmospheric chemistry modeling is computationally expensive as it typically requires a large number of simulations using complex models. As large-scale modeling is typically performed with simplified…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-07-16 Lin Guo , Xiaokai Yang , Zhonghua Zheng , Nicole Riemer , Christopher W. Tessum

Specifying a governing physical model in the presence of missing physics and recovering its parameters are two intertwined and fundamental problems in science. Modern machine learning allows one to circumvent these, via emulators and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Daniel J. Tait , Theodoros Damoulas

Leveraging neural networks as surrogate models for turbulence simulation is a topic of growing interest. At the same time, embodying the inherent uncertainty of simulations in the predictions of surrogate models remains very challenging.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-10 Qiang Liu , Nils Thuerey

Uncertainty estimation is critical for numerous applications of deep neural networks and draws growing attention from researchers. Here, we demonstrate an uncertainty quantification approach for deep neural networks used in inverse problems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Luzhe Huang , Jianing Li , Xiaofu Ding , Yijie Zhang , Hanlong Chen , Aydogan Ozcan

We propose a physics-informed machine learning method for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional inverse problems. In this method, the states and parameters of partial differential equations (PDEs) are approximated with truncated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Yifei Zong , David Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

In Bayesian inverse problems sampling the posterior distribution is often a challenging task when the underlying models are computationally intensive. To this end, surrogates or reduced models are often used to accelerate the computation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Qifeng Liao , Jinglai Li

Inverse problems aim to determine model parameters of a mathematical problem from given observational data. Neural networks can provide an efficient tool to solve these problems. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, Uncertainty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Andrea Tonini , Tan Bui-Thanh , Francesco Regazzoni , Luca Dede' , Alfio Quarteroni

A popular approach for addressing uncertainty in variational inequality problems is by solving the expected residual minimization (ERM) problem. This avenue necessitates distributional information associated with the uncertainty and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Yue Xie , Uday V. Shanbhag

We propose a neural network-based algorithm for solving forward and inverse problems for partial differential equations in unsupervised fashion. The solution is approximated by a deep neural network which is the minimizer of a cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Leah Bar , Nir Sochen

Model correction is essential for reliable PDE learning when the governing physics is misspecified due to simplified assumptions or limited observations. In the machine learning literature, existing correction methods typically operate in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Wenwen Zhou , Xiaodong Feng , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

We provide a general solution to a fundamental open problem in Bayesian inference, namely poor uncertainty quantification, from a frequency standpoint, of Bayesian methods in misspecified models. While existing solutions are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 David T. Frazier , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi , David Gunawan

Ensembles of independently trained neural networks are a state-of-the-art approach to estimate predictive uncertainty in Deep Learning, and can be interpreted as an approximation of the posterior distribution via a mixture of delta…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Aleksei Tiulpin , Matthew B. Blaschko

We propose a new probabilistic method for unsupervised recovery of corrupted data. Given a large ensemble of degraded samples, our method recovers accurate posteriors of clean values, allowing the exploration of the manifold of possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Francesco Tonolini , Pablo G. Moreno , Andreas Damianou , Roderick Murray-Smith

Ultra-fast, precise, and controlled amplitude surrogates are essential for future LHC event generation. First, we investigate the noise reduction and biases of network ensembles and outline a new method to learn well-calibrated systematic…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-09 Henning Bahl , Nina Elmer , Tilman Plehn , Ramon Winterhalder

Decentralized sparsity learning has attracted a significant amount of attention recently due to its rapidly growing applications. To obtain the robust and sparse estimators, a natural idea is to adopt the non-smooth median loss combined…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Xin Zhang

Uncertainty quantification plays an important role in achieving trustworthy and reliable learning-based computational imaging. Recent advances in generative modeling and Bayesian neural networks have enabled the development of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

Identification of a groundwater contaminant source simultaneously with the hydraulic conductivity in highly-heterogeneous media often results in a high-dimensional inverse problem. In this study, a deep autoregressive neural network-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Shaoxing Mo , Nicholas Zabaras , Xiaoqing Shi , Jichun Wu

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely
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