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We study inference on scalar-valued pathwise differentiable targets after adaptive data collection, such as a bandit algorithm. We introduce a novel target-specific condition, directional stability, which is strictly weaker than previously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Zikai Shen , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Arthur Gretton , Koulik Khamaru , Aurélien Bibaut

We describe how to analyze the wide class of non stationary processes with stationary centered increments using Shannon information theory. To do so, we use a practical viewpoint and define ersatz quantities from time-averaged probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stéphane G. Roux , Nicolas Garnier

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

We propose a notion of conditioned stochastic stability of invariant measures on repellers: we consider whether quasi-ergodic measures of absorbing Markov processes, generated by random perturbations of the deterministic dynamics and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Bernat Bassols Cornudella , Matheus Manzatto de Castro , Jeroen S. W. Lamb

We consider the problem of the estimation of the invariant distribution function of an ergodic diffusion process when the drift coefficient is unknown. The empirical distribution function is a natural estimator which is unbiased, uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ilia Negri

It is shown that an exact solution of the transient dynamics of an associative memory model storing an infinite number of limit cycles with l finite steps by means of the path-integral analysis. Assuming the Maxwell construction ansatz, we…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Kazushi Mimura , Masaki Kawamura , Masato Okada

Using lattice approximations of Euclidean space, we develop a way to approximate stable processes that are represented by stochastic integrals over Euclidean space. Via a stable version of the Lindeberg-Feller Theorem we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Clément Dombry , Paul Jung

We analyze the long-time behavior of numerical schemes for a class of monotone stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by multiplicative noise. By deriving several time-independent a priori estimates for the numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Zhihui Liu

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Stable non-Gaussian self-similar mixed moving averages can be decomposed into several components. Two of these are the periodic and cyclic fractional stable motions which are the subject of this study. We focus on the structure of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Vladas Pipiras , Murad S. Taqqu

In this paper we present a complete asymptotic expansion of a symmetric homogeneous stable (balanced), stabilizable and stabilized mean. By including known asymptotic expansions of parametric means it is shown how the obtained coefficients…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Lenka Mihoković

We present the observation that the process of stochastic model predictive control can be formulated in the framework of iterated function systems. The latter has a rich ergodic theory that can be applied to study the system's long-run…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Jakub Marecek , Robert Shorten

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

Linear Fractional Stable Motion (LFSM) of Hurst parameter $H$ and of stability parameter $\al$, is one of the most classical extensions of the well-known Gaussian Fractional Brownian Motion (FBM), to the setting of heavy-tailed stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We present stability conditions for the category of coherent systems on an integral curve. We define a three-parameter family of pre-stability conditions in its derived category using tilting, and we then investigate when these conditions…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Marcos Jardim , Leonardo Roa-Leguizamón , Renato Vidal Martins

We study the stability of an inverse problem for the fractional conductivity equation on bounded smooth domains. We obtain a logarithmic stability estimate for the inverse problem under suitable a priori bounds on the globally defined…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Giovanni Covi , Jesse Railo , Teemu Tyni , Philipp Zimmermann

We analyze in this paper the effect of the well known intelligent proportional controller on the stability of linear control systems. Inspired by the literature on neutral time delay systems and advanced type systems, we derive sufficient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Mohamed Camil Belhadjoudja , Mohamed Maghenem , Emmanuel Witrant

We study the recently introduced notion of output-input stability, which is a robust variant of the minimum-phase property for general smooth nonlinear control systems. The subject of this paper is developing the theory of output-input…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Liberzon

We develop a stochastic integration theory for predictable integrands with respect to a L\'evy basis. Our approach is based on decoupling inequalities for tangent sequences and reduces the construction of the stochastic integral essentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Markus Riedle
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