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This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

We extend the correspondence between two-stage coding procedures in data compression and penalized likelihood procedures in statistical estimation. Traditionally, this had required restriction to countable parameter spaces. We show how to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Andrew Barron

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

Distributional regression aims to find the best candidate in a given parametric family of conditional distributions to model a given dataset. As each candidate in the distribution family can be identified by the corresponding distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

Estimation in exploratory factor analysis often yields estimates on the boundary of the parameter space. Such occurrences, known as Heywood cases, are characterised by non-positive variance estimates and can cause issues in numerical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Philipp Sterzinger , Ioannis Kosmids , Irini Moustaki

We develop a maximum penalized quasi-likelihood estimator for estimating in a nonparametric way the diffusion function of a diffusion process, as an alternative to more traditional kernel-based estimators. After developing a numerical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-12 Jeff Hamrick , Yifei Huang , Constantinos Kardaras , Murad Taqqu

We consider penalized estimation in hidden Markov models (HMMs) with multivariate Normal observations. In the moderate-to-large dimensional setting, estimation for HMMs remains challenging in practice, due to several concerns arising from…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-09 Nicolas Städler , Sach Mukherjee

We suggest an iterative approach to computing K-step maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of the parametric components in semiparametric models based on their profile likelihoods. The higher order convergence rate of K-step MLE mainly depends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-23 Guang Cheng

We propose a method for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of a Markov-Modulated Jump-Diffusion Model (MMJDM) when the data is a discrete time sample of the diffusion process, the jumps follow a Laplace distribution, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-01 Laura Eslava , Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Bor Reynoso

Statistical modeling of monthly, seasonal, or annual rainfall data is an important research area in meteorology. These models play a crucial role in rainfed agriculture, where a proper assessment of the future availability of rainwater is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-05 Arnab Hazra , Abhik Ghosh

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of latent variable models is often recast as the minimization of a free energy functional over an extended space of parameters and probability distributions. This perspective was recently combined with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Jen Ning Lim , Juan Kuntz , Samuel Power , Adam M. Johansen

Distributed learning of probabilistic models from multiple data repositories with minimum communication is increasingly important. We study a simple communication-efficient learning framework that first calculates the local maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-13 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

The maximum product of spacings (MPS) is employed in the estimation of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEV) and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). Efficient estimators are obtained by the MPS for all $\gamma$. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. S. T. Wong , W. K. Li

Unlike the commonly used parametric regression models such as mixed models, that can easily violate the required statistical assumptions and result in invalid statistical inference, target maximum likelihood estimation allows more realistic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-17 Chi Zhang , Jennifer Ahern , Mark J. van der Laan

Penalized methods are applied to quasi likelihood analysis for stochastic differential equation models. In this paper, we treat the quasi likelihood function and the associated statistical random field for which a polynomial type large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Yoshiki Kinoshita , Nakahiro Yoshida

We analyze the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2). By exploiting connections to phylogenetics and single-linkage clustering, we give a simple proof…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

The paper considers parameter estimation in count data models using penalized likelihood methods. The motivating data consists of multiple independent count variables with a moderate sample size per variable. The data were collected during…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Minh Thu Bui , Cornelis J. Potgieter , Akihito Kamata

Parameter estimation in HEP experiments often involves Monte-Carlo simulation to model the experimental response function. A typical application are forward-folding likelihood analyses with re-weighting, or time-consuming minimization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-06-12 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Estimation in generalized linear models (GLM) is complicated by the presence of constraints. One can handle constraints by maximizing a penalized log-likelihood. Penalties such as the lasso are effective in high dimensions, but often lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Jason Xu , Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

The exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) have emerged as an important framework for modeling social networks for a wide variety of relational types. ERGMs for valued networks are less well-developed than their unvalued…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Peng Huang , Carter T. Butts