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By drawing on large-scale online data we construct and analyze the time-varying worldwide network of professional relationships among start-ups. The nodes of this network represent companies, while the links model the flow of employees and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-18 Moreno Bonaventura , Valerio Ciotti , Pietro Panzarasa , Silvia Liverani , Lucas Lacasa , Vito Latora

Despite the growing attention to time series forecasting in recent years, many studies have proposed various solutions to address the challenges encountered in time series prediction, aiming to improve forecasting performance. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Tiantian Gao , Hongkang Zhang , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

Time series models, typically trained on numerical data, are designed to forecast future values. These models often rely on weighted averaging techniques over time intervals. However, real-world time series data is seldom isolated and is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Litton Jose Kurisinkel , Pruthwik Mishra , Yue Zhang

Recent studies have shown great promise in applying graph neural networks for multivariate time series forecasting, where the interactions of time series are described as a graph structure and the variables are represented as the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Junchen Ye , Zihan Liu , Bowen Du , Leilei Sun , Weimiao Li , Yanjie Fu , Hui Xiong

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

Temporal link prediction in dynamic graphs is a critical task with applications in diverse domains such as social networks, recommendation systems, and e-commerce platforms. While existing Temporal Graph Neural Networks (T-GNNs) have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Haoyang Li , Yuming Xu , Yiming Li , Hanmo Liu , Darian Li , Chen Jason Zhang , Lei Chen , Qing Li

Graph representation learning methods have been widely adopted in financial applications to enhance company representations by leveraging inter-firm relationships. However, current approaches face three key challenges: (1) The advantages of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Yingjie Niu , Mingchuan Zhao , Valerio Poti , Ruihai Dong

Graph retrieval-augmented generation (GraphRAG) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for enhancing large language models (LLMs) with external knowledge. It leverages graphs to model the hierarchical structure between specific concepts,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Zhishang Xiang , Chuanjie Wu , Qinggang Zhang , Shengyuan Chen , Zijin Hong , Xiao Huang , Jinsong Su

Data augmentation is a crucial tool in time series forecasting, especially for deep learning architectures that require a large training sample size to generalize effectively. However, extensive datasets are not always available in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Luis Amorim , Moises Santos , Paulo J. Azevedo , Carlos Soares , Vitor Cerqueira

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved impressive capabilities in language understanding and generation, yet they continue to underperform on knowledge-intensive reasoning tasks due to limited access to structured context and multi-hop…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Travis Thompson , Seung-Hwan Lim , Paul Liu , Ruoying He , Dongkuan Xu

Team modeling remains a fundamental challenge at the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Social Sciences. Although a variety of computational models have been proposed in the last two decades, most fail to integrate Social Sciences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Vincenzo Marco De Luca , Giovanna Varni , Andrea Passerini

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

The introduction of new features and services in the banking sector often overwhelms customers, creating an opportunity for banks to enhance user experience through financial chatbots powered by large language models (LLMs). We initiated an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Hamza Landolsi , Kais Letaief , Nizar Taghouti , Ines Abdeljaoued-Tej

Using a proper model to characterize a time series is crucial in making accurate predictions. In this work we use time-varying autoregressive process (TVAR) to describe non-stationary time series and model it as a mixture of multiple stable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

Industrial processes generate vast amounts of time series data, yet extracting meaningful relationships and insights remains challenging. This paper introduces a framework for automated knowledge graph learning from time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Lolitta Ammann , Jorge Martinez-Gil , Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis