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We discuss the probabilistic properties of the variation based third and fourth moments of financial returns as estimators of the actual moments of the return distributions. The moment variations are defined under non-parametric assumptions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee

This article investigates parameter estimation of affine term structure models by means of the generalized method of moments. Exact moments of the affine latent process as well as of the yields are obtained by using results derived for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-10 Jaroslava Hlouskova , Leopold Sögner

In the linear random effects model, when distributional assumptions such as normality of the error variables cannot be justified, moments may serve as alternatives to describe relevant distributions in neighborhoods of their means.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Ping Wu , Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. A standard approach reduces the problem to a finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus

Moment closure methods are widely used to analyze mathematical models. They are specifically geared toward derivation of approximations of moments of stochastic models, and of similar quantities in other models. The methods possess several…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Ingemar Nåsell

In this paper, we propose and study closed-form moment type estimators for a weighted exponential family. We also develop a bias-reduced version of these proposed closed-form estimators using bootstrap techniques. The estimators are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

A general jackknife estimator for the asymptotic covariance of moment estimators is considered in the case when the sample is taken from a mixture with varying concentrations of components. Consistency of the estimator is demonstrated. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Rostyslav Maiboroda , Olena Sugakova

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

This paper proposes a semidefinite programming based method for estimating moments of a stochastic hybrid system (SHS). For polynomial SHSs -- which consist of polynomial continuous vector fields, reset maps, and transition intensities --…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-02 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Andrew Lamperski , Abhyudai Singh

Discrete-state stochastic models have become a well-established approach to describe biochemical reaction networks that are influenced by the inherent randomness of cellular events. In the last years severalmethods for accurately…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-03 Alexander Lück , Verena Wolf

We consider a class of asset pricing models, where the risk-neutral joint process of log-price and its stochastic variance is an affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer [2003]. First we obtain conditions for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Martin Keller-Ressel

The extremal index $\theta$, a number in the interval $[0,1]$, is known to be a measure of primal importance for analyzing the extremes of a stationary time series. New rank-based estimators for $\theta$ are proposed which rely on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

Mixture models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics and machine learning for treating data taken from multiple subpopulations. The current practice for estimating the parameters of such models relies on local search heuristics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade

Finite mixtures of regression models provide a flexible modeling framework for many phenomena. Using moment-based estimation of the regression parameters, we develop unbiased estimators with a minimum of assumptions on the mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Christian Bressen Pipper

For the multivariate COGARCH process, we obtain explicit expressions for the second-order structure of the "squared returns" process observed on an equidistant grid. Based on this, we present a generalized method of moments estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Thiago do Rêgo Sousa , Robert Stelzer

We present a function-valued stochastic volatility model designed to capture the continuous-time evolution of forward curves in fixed-income or commodity markets. The dynamics of the (logarithmic) forward curves are defined by a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-23 Sven Karbach

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in the presence of confounding. They can also be applied in stochastic processes. Instrumental variable analysis exploits moment equations to obtain estimators for causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Søren Wengel Mogensen

We consider stochastic volatility models using piecewise constant parameters. We suggest a hybrid optimization algorithm for fitting the models to a volatility surface and provide some numerical results. Finally, we provide an outlook on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-07 Wolfgang Putschoegl

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

Model-based prediction of stochastic noise in biomolecular reactions often resorts to approximation with unknown precision. As a result, unexpected stochastic fluctuation causes a headache for the designers of biomolecular circuits. This…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-07 Yuta Sakurai , Yutaka Hori
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