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Human social behaviour is governed by complex interactions shaped by uncertainty, causality, and group dynamics. We propose Causal Spherical Hypergraph Networks (Causal-SphHN), a principled framework for socially grounded prediction that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Anoushka Harit , Zhongtian Sun

It has been shown in the past that many real-world networks exhibit community structures and non-trivial clustering which comes with the occurrence of a notable number of triangular connections. Yet the influence of such connection patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-25 Ilja Rausch

Typically, contagion strength is modeled by a transmission rate $\lambda$, whereby all nodes in a network are treated uniformly in a mean-field approximation. However, local agents react differently to the same contagion based on their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Pouya Manshour , Afshin Montakhab

Most theoretical tools available for the analysis of spreading processes over networks assume exponentially distributed transmission and recovery times. In practice, the empirical distribution of transmission times for many real spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Community structure is an important factor in the behavior of real-world networks because it strongly affects the stability and thus the phase transition order of the spreading dynamics. We here propose a reversible social contagion model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-13 Zhen Su , Wei Wang , Lixiang Li , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

The interplay between local and regional processes in the dynamics of ecological communities remains a challenge to model, analyze and predict. This is especially notable in infectious diseases with multiple strains, where several layers of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Sten Madec , Erida Gjini

There is considerable interest in developing predictive capabilities for social diffusion processes, for instance to permit early identification of emerging contentious situations, rapid detection of disease outbreaks, or accurate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-01-01 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded both in networked and spatial contexts. Here we investigate the pattern dynamics of a complex contagion, where two agents, say $A$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-18 Li Chen

We study a self-consistent approach to introduce higher-order effects in a branching process model of complex contagion on clustered networks. Branching processes operate over an infinite population such that they never circle back and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-20 Leah A. Keating , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Diffusion of information, behavioral patterns or innovations follows diverse pathways depending on a number of conditions, including the structure of the underlying social network, the sensitivity to peer pressure and the influence of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-25 Zhongyuan Ruan , Gerardo Iniguez , Marton Karsai , Janos Kertesz

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

We study the tipping point collective dynamics of an adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemiological network in a data-driven, machine learning-assisted manner. We identify a parameter-dependent effective stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Nikolaos Evangelou , Tianqi Cui , Juan M. Bello-Rivas , Alexei Makeev , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

A network epidemics model based on the classical Polya urn scheme is investigated. Temporal contagion processes are generated on the network nodes using a modified Polya sampling scheme that accounts for spatial infection among neighbouring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Mikhail Hayhoe , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

Contagion dynamics in complex networks drive critical phenomena such as epidemic spread and information diffusion,but their analysis remains computationally prohibitive in large-scale, high-complexity systems. Here, we introduce the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-31 Leyang Xue , Zengru Di , An Zeng

The emergence of collective behaviors in networks of dynamical units in pairwise interaction has been explained as the effect of diffusive coupling. How does the presence of higher-order interaction impact the onset of spontaneous or…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-10-05 Fabio Della Rossa , Davide Liuzza , Francesco Lo Iudice , Pietro De Lellis

People organize in groups and contagions spread across them. A simple stochastic process, yet complex to model due to dynamical correlations within and between groups. Moreover, groups can evolve if agents join or leave in response to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-22 Giulio Burgio , Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

A great deal of effort has gone into trying to model social influence --- including the spread of behavior, norms, and ideas --- on networks. Most models of social influence tend to assume that individuals react to changes in the states of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-04 Se-Wook Oh , Mason A. Porter

We study an SIS epidemic process over a static contact network where the nodes have partial information about the epidemic state. They react by limiting their interactions with their neighbors when they believe the epidemic is currently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Keith Paarporn , Ceyhun Eksin , Joshua S. Weitz , Jeff S. Shamma

This paper studies a distributed continuous-time bi-virus model in which two competing viruses spread over a network consisting of multiple groups of individuals. Limiting behaviors of the network are characterized by analyzing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Ji Liu , Philip E. Pare , Angelia Nedich , Choon Yik Tang , Carolyn L. Beck , Tamer Basar
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