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In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

This work introduces a non-intrusive model reduction approach for learning reduced models from partially observed state trajectories of high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach compensates for the loss of information due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Wayne Isaac Tan Uy , Benjamin Peherstorfer

Data-driven prediction and physics-agnostic machine-learning methods have attracted increased interest in recent years achieving forecast horizons going well beyond those to be expected for chaotic dynamical systems. In a separate strand of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

We propose a method to perform set-based state estimation of an unknown dynamical linear system using a data-driven set propagation function. Our method comes with set-containment guarantees, making it applicable to safety-critical systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-29 Amr Alanwar , Alexander Berndt , Karl Henrik Johansson , Henrik Sandberg

This paper studies the distributed state estimation in sensor network, where $m$ sensors are deployed to infer the $n$-dimensional state of a linear time-invariant (LTI) Gaussian system. By a lossless decomposition of optimal steady-state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-22 Jiaqi Yan , Xu Yang , Yilin Mo , Keyou You

We develop an algebraic framework for sequential data assimilation of partially observed dynamical systems. In this framework, Bayesian data assimilation is embedded in a non-abelian operator algebra, which provides a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Brian Mintz , Abbas Ourmazd , Joanna Slawinska

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

A state-space model is a statistical framework for inferring latent states from observed time-series data. However, inference with nonlinear and high-dimensional state-space models remains challenging. To this end, an approach based on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Yuma Yamaoka , Seiichi Uchida , Shoji Toyota

State estimation for a class of linear time-invariant systems with distributed output measurements (distributed sensors) and unknown inputs is addressed in this paper. The objective is to design a network of observers such that the state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Guitao Yang , Angelo Barboni , Hamed Rezaee , Thomas Parisini

We consider data-driven Bayesian state estimation from compressed measurements (BSCM) of a model-free process. The dimension of the temporal measurement vector is lower than that of the temporal state vector to be estimated, leading to an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Anubhab Ghosh , Yonina C. Eldar , Saikat Chatterjee

Data-driven methods for the identification of the governing equations of dynamical systems or the computation of reduced surrogate models play an increasingly important role in many application areas such as physics, chemistry, biology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Stefan Klus , Hongyu Zhu

This paper presents a generic motion model to capture mobile robots' dynamic behaviors (translation and rotation). The model is based on statistical models driven by white random processes and is formulated into a full state estimation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Wei Xu , Dongjiao He , Yixi Cai , Fu Zhang

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

Conventional recursive filtering approaches, designed for quantifying the state of an evolving uncertain dynamical system with intermittent observations, use a sequence of (i) an uncertainty propagation step followed by (ii) a step where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Wonjung Lee , Chris Farmer

There is a growing interest in developing data-driven reduced-order models for atmospheric and oceanic flows that are trained on data obtained either from high-resolution simulations or satellite observations. The data-driven models are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-07 Suraj Pawar , Omer San

Learning-based methods commonly treat state estimation in robotics as a sequence modeling problem. While this paradigm can be effective at maximizing end-to-end performance, models are often difficult to interpret and expensive to train,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Lennart Röstel , Berthold Bäuml

When the heat released by a flame is sufficiently in phase with the acoustic pressure, a self-excited thermoacoustic oscillation can arise. These nonlinear oscillations are one of the biggest challenges faced in the design of safe and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Tullio Traverso , Luca Magri

State estimation is key to both analyzing physical mechanisms and enabling real-time control of fluid flows. A common estimation approach is to relate sensor measurements to a reduced state governed by a reduced-order model (ROM). (When…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-10 Nirmal J. Nair , Andres Goza

Only a subset of degrees of freedom are typically accessible or measurable in real-world systems. As a consequence, the proper setting for empirical modeling is that of partially-observed systems. Notably, data-driven models consistently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-18 Adam Rupe , Velimir V. Vesselinov , James P. Crutchfield