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Deep neural networks have revolutionized medical image analysis and disease diagnosis. Despite their impressive performance, it is difficult to generate well-calibrated probabilistic outputs for such networks, which makes them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-29 Pranav Poduval , Hrushikesh Loya , Amit Sethi

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

While local basis function (LBF) estimation algorithms, commonly used for identifying/tracking systems with time-varying parameters, demonstrate good performance under the assumption of normally distributed measurement noise, the estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Maciej Niedźwiecki , Artur Gańcza , Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a method for globally optimizing black-box functions. While BO has been successfully applied to many scenarios, developing effective BO algorithms that scale to functions with high-dimensional domains is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yihang Shen , Carl Kingsford

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely-used method for optimizing expensive (to evaluate) problems. At the core of most BO methods is the modeling of the objective function using a Gaussian Process (GP) whose covariance is selected from a…

Functional Data Analysis represents a field of growing interest in statistics. Despite several studies have been proposed leading to fundamental results, the problem of obtaining valid and efficient prediction sets has not been thoroughly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

Bayesian inference in function space has gained attention due to its robustness against overparameterization in neural networks. However, approximating the infinite-dimensional function space introduces several challenges. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Sophie Steger , Christian Knoll , Bernhard Klein , Holger Fröning , Franz Pernkopf

Parameter-space regularization in neural network optimization is a fundamental tool for improving generalization. However, standard parameter-space regularization methods make it challenging to encode explicit preferences about desired…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Sanyam Kapoor , Shikai Qiu , Andrew Gordon Wilson

This paper proposes a Direct Rational Radial Basis Functions Partition of Unity (D-RRBF-PU) approach to compute derivatives of functions with steep gradients or discontinuities. The novelty of the method concerns how derivatives are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-13 Vahid Mohammadi , Stefano De Marchi

Sequential Bayesian inference over predictive functions is a natural framework for continual learning from streams of data. However, applying it to neural networks has proved challenging in practice. Addressing the drawbacks of existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Freddie Bickford Smith , Qixuan Feng , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

We develop a computational approach that significantly improves the efficiency of Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) using local radial basis functions (RBFs). The presented RBF--BOED method uses the intrinsic ability of RBFs to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-20 Tianyi Chu , Jonathan B. Estrada , Spencer H. Bryngelson

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

Computer vision models normally witness degraded performance when deployed in real-world scenarios, due to unexpected changes in inputs that were not accounted for during training. Data augmentation is commonly used to address this issue,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Puru Vaish , Shunxin Wang , Nicola Strisciuglio

In geostatistics, traditional spatial models often rely on the Gaussian Process (GP) to fit stationary covariances to data. It is well known that this approach becomes computationally infeasible when dealing with large data volumes,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-17 Antony Sikorski , Daniel McKenzie , Douglas Nychka

Random field models have been widely employed to develop a predictor of an expensive function based on observations from an experiment. The traditional framework for developing a predictor with random field models can fail due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-05 Matthew Plumlee

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has developed rapidly from its infancy to a useful tool for practitioners. However, models with more than a handful of parameters still generally remain a challenge for the…

Predictive coding is an influential theory of cortical function which posits that the principal computation the brain performs, which underlies both perception and learning, is the minimization of prediction errors. While motivated by…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Beren Millidge , Alexander Tschantz , Anil Seth , Christopher L Buckley

Bayesian neural network posterior distributions have a great number of modes that correspond to the same network function. The abundance of such modes can make it difficult for approximate inference methods to do their job. Recent work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Tommy Rochussen

With the increasing demand for interpretability in machine learning, functional ANOVA decomposition has gained renewed attention as a principled tool for breaking down high-dimensional function into low-dimensional components that reveal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Seokhun Park , Choeun Kim , Jihu Lee , Yunseop Shin , Insung Kong , Yongdai Kim