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Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Covariance tapering is a popular approach for reducing the computational cost of spatial prediction and parameter estimation for Gaussian process models. However, tapering can have poor performance when the process is sampled at spatially…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-22 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

To speed up Gaussian process inference, a number of fast kernel matrix-vector multiplication (MVM) approximation algorithms have been proposed over the years. In this paper, we establish an exact fast kernel MVM algorithm based on exact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Nicolas Langrené , Xavier Warin , Pierre Gruet

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular statistical technique for stochastic function approximation and uncertainty quantification from data. GPs have been adopted into the realm of machine learning in the last two decades because of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Mark D. Risser

We consider a Gaussian process formulation of the multiple kernel learning problem. The goal is to select the convex combination of kernel matrices that best explains the data and by doing so improve the generalisation on unseen data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-25 Cedric Archambeau , Francis Bach

This paper establishes optimal convergence rates for estimation of structured covariance operators of Gaussian processes. We study banded operators with kernels that decay rapidly off-the-diagonal and $L^q$-sparse operators with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Omar Al-Ghattas , Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Spatial Gaussian process regression models typically contain finite dimensional covariance parameters that need to be estimated from the data. We study the Bayesian estimation of covariance parameters including the nugget parameter in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Cheng Li , Saifei Sun , Yichen Zhu

In this paper, we study random subsampling of Gaussian process regression, one of the simplest approximation baselines, from a theoretical perspective. Although subsampling discards a large part of training data, we show provable guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Kohei Hayashi , Masaaki Imaizumi , Yuichi Yoshida

This article explores the optimization of variational approximations for posterior covariances of Gaussian multiway arrays. To achieve this, we establish a natural differential geometric optimization framework on the space using the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-10 Quinn Simonis , Martin T. Wells

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

We study how the posterior contraction rate under a Gaussian process (GP) prior depends on the intrinsic dimension of the predictors and the smoothness of the regression function. An open question is whether a generic GP prior that does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Tao Tang , Nan Wu , Xiuyuan Cheng , David Dunson

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

We develop a novel framework to accelerate Gaussian process regression (GPR). In particular, we consider localization kernels at each data point to down-weigh the contributions from other data points that are far away, and we derive the GPR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Davit Gogolashvili , Bogdan Kozyrskiy , Maurizio Filippone

A fundamental drawback of kernel-based statistical models is their limited scalability to large data sets, which requires resorting to approximations. In this work, we focus on the popular Gaussian kernel and on techniques to linearize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-13 Jonas Wacker , Maurizio Filippone

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä
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