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This paper examines a government's strategic resource allocation choices when facing an opposing group whose military power is uncertain. We investigate how this uncertainty affects the government's decision to divide resources in a way…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-21 Sarah Taylor

Can unstructured text data from social media help explain the drivers of large asset price fluctuations? This paper investigates how social forces affect asset prices, by using machine learning tools to extract beliefs and positions of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-09 Valentina Semenova , Julian Winkler

Fiat-pegged stablecoins are by nature exposed to spillover effects during market turmoil in Traditional Finance (TradFi). We observe a difference in TradFi market shocks impact between various stablecoins, in particular, USD Coin (USDC) and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-17 Walter Hernandez Cruz , Jiahua Xu , Paolo Tasca , Carlo Campajola

Every interaction of a living organism with its environment involves the placement of a bet. Armed with partial knowledge about a stochastic world, the organism must decide its next step or near-term strategy, an act that implicitly or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-30 Philipp Fleig , Vijay Balasubramanian

Models of auctions or tendering processes are introduced. In every round of bidding the players select their bid from a probability distribution and whenever a bid is unsuccessful, it is discarded and replaced. For simple models, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-22 Darío Alatorre , Carlos Gershenson , José L. Mateos

Deception plays critical roles in economics and technology, especially in emerging interactions in cyberspace. Holistic models of deception are needed in order to analyze interactions and to design mechanisms that improve them. Game theory…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Jeffrey Pawlick , Edward Colbert , Quanyan Zhu

Economists often estimate economic models on data and use the point estimates as a stand-in for the truth when studying the model's implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-07 Maximilian Blesch , Philipp Eisenhauer

Multiple scales in metapopulations can give rise to paradoxical behaviour: in a conceptual model for a public goods game, the species associated with a fitness cost due to the public good production can be stabilised in the well-mixed limit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-04-18 Marianne Bauer , Erwin Frey

This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau

We start with the idea that open quantum systems can be used to represent financial markets by modelling events from the external environment and their impact on the market price. We show how to characterize distinct orbits of the time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-05 Will Hicks

We consider the problem of decomposing monetary risk in the presence of a fully traded market in {\it some} risks. We show that a mark-to-market approach to pricing leads to such a decomposition if the risk measure is time-consistent in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Saul Jacka , Abdel Berkaoui

This paper analyzes the emerging memecoin phenomenon on the Solana blockchain, focusing on the Pump$.$fun platform during Q4 2024. Using on-chain data, it is explored how retail-focused token creation platforms are reshaping blockchain…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Davide Mancino

Market-based coordination of demand side assets has gained great interests in recent years. In spite of its efficiency, there is a risk that the interaction between the dynamic assets through the price signal could result in an unstable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

This paper investigates the impact of dark pools on price discovery (the efficiency of prices on stock exchanges to aggregate information). Assets are traded in either an exchange or a dark pool, with the dark pool offering better prices…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-28 Linlin Ye

Results from the communication complexity literature have demonstrated that stable matching requires communication: one cannot find or verify a stable match without having access to essentially all of the ordinal preference information held…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-09 Naveen Durvasula

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We develop formal privacy mechanisms for releasing statistics from data with many outlying values, such as income data. These mechanisms ensure that a per-record differential privacy guarantee degrades slowly in the protected records'…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Brian Finley , Anthony M Caruso , Justin C Doty , Ashwin Machanavajjhala , Mikaela R Meyer , David Pujol , William Sexton , Zachary Terner

Dynamically distributed inflation is a common mechanism used to guide a blockchain's staking rate towards a desired equilibrium between network security and token liquidity. However, the high sensitivity of the annual percentage yield to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Carlo Brunetta , Amit Chaudhary , Stefano Galatolo , Massimiliano Sala

Many protocols in distributed computing rely on a source of randomness, usually called a random beacon, both for their applicability and security. This is especially true for proof-of-stake blockchain protocols in which the next miner or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Zhuo Cai
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