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In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

In this technical report, a new formulation for embedding a neural network into an optimization model is described. This formulation does not require binary variables to properly compute the output of the neural network for specific types…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Héctor G. -de-Alba , Andres Tellez , Cipriano Santos , Emmanuel Gómez

In regression models with missing outcomes, selection bias can arise when the missingness mechanism depends on the outcome itself. This proposal focuses on an extension of the Heckman model to a setting where the outcome is binary and both…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Marco Doretti , Elena Stanghellini , Alessandro Taraborrelli

Exclusion and exogeneity are core assumptions in instrumental variable (IV) analyses, but their empirical validity is often debated. This paper develops new sensitivity analyses for these assumptions. Our results accommodate arbitrary…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-10 Paul Diegert , Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

We develop a general framework for the identification of counterfactual parameters in a class of nonlinear semiparametric panel models with fixed effects and time effects. Our method applies to models for discrete outcomes (e.g., two-way…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-07 Irene Botosaru , Chris Muris

We consider the problem of predicting a response variable from a set of covariates on a data set that differs in distribution from the training data. Causal parameters are optimal in terms of predictive accuracy if in the new distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann , Jonas Peters

We provide a Copula-based approach to test the exogeneity of instrumental variables in linear regression models. We show that the exogeneity of instrumental variables is equivalent to the exogeneity of their standard normal transformations…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Seyed Morteza Emadi

The partially linear binary choice model can be used for estimating structural equations where nonlinearity may appear due to diminishing marginal returns, different life cycle regimes, or hectic physical phenomena. The inference procedure…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-01 Wenzheng Gao , Zhenting Sun

No unmeasured confounding is a common assumption when reasoning about counterfactual outcomes, but such an assumption may not be plausible in observational studies. Sensitivity analysis is often employed to assess the robustness of causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-20 Abhinandan Dalal , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

We provide an algorithm for the simultaneous system identification and model predictive control of nonlinear systems. The algorithm has finite-time near-optimality guarantees and asymptotically converges to the optimal (non-causal)…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Hongyu Zhou , Vasileios Tzoumas

The deconfounder was proposed as a method for estimating causal parameters in a context with multiple causes and unobserved confounding. It is based on recovery of a latent variable from the observed causes. We disentangle the causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Jeffrey Adams , Niels Richard Hansen

Real world evolves in continuous time but computations are done from finite samples. Therefore, we study algorithms using finite observations in continuous-time linear dynamical systems. We first study the system identification problem, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Hongyi Zhou , Jingwei Li , Jingzhao Zhang

The hypothesis of homogeneous treatment effects is central to the instrumental variables literature. This assumption signifies that treatment effects are constant across all subjects. It allows to interpret instrumental variable estimates…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-17 Jad Beyhum , Jean-Pierre Florens , Elia Lapenta , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Researchers now routinely use AI or other machine learning methods to estimate latent variables of economic interest, then plug-in the estimates as covariates in a regression. We show both theoretically and empirically that naively treating…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-01 Laura Battaglia , Timothy Christensen , Stephen Hansen , Szymon Sacher

We provide identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes depend on three types of unobservables: known heterogeneity, initially unknown heterogeneity that may be revealed over time, and transitory…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-25 Jackson Bunting , Paul Diegert , Arnaud Maurel

In a nonparametric instrumental regression model, we strengthen the conventional moment independence assumption towards full statistical independence between instrument and error term. This allows us to prove identification results and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-06-13 Isaac Loh

A key observation underlying this paper is the fact that the range invariance condition for convergence of regularization methods for nonlinear ill-posed operator equations -- such as coefficient identification in partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Barbara Kaltenbacher

We address the problem of output reference tracking for unknown non-linear multi-input, multi-output systems described by functional differential equations. This class of systems includes those with a strict relative degree, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Dario Dennstädt

This paper deals with the estimation of exogeneous peer effects for partially observed networks under the new inferential paradigm of design identification, which characterizes the missing data challenge arising with sampled networks with…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-22 Mamadou Yauck