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The observed spectra and light curves of the kilonova produced by the GW170817 binary neutron star merger provide complementary insights, but modeling both the spectral- and time-domain has proven challenging. Here, we model the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-11-14 Nicholas Vieira , John J. Ruan , Daryl Haggard , Maria R. Drout , Rodrigo Fernández

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

In binary neutron star mergers, lanthanide-rich dynamical ejecta and lanthanide-poor post-merger ejecta have been often linked to the red and blue kilonova emission, respectively. However, analytic light curve modeling of kilonova often…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-02-17 Ayari Kitamura , Kyohei Kawaguchi , Masaomi Tanaka , Sho Fujibayashi

Detecting the thermal emission from double neutron star merger events is a challenging task because of the quick fading of the observed flux. In order to create an efficient observing strategy for their observing method it is crucial to…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-10-19 József Kóbori , Zsolt Bagoly , Lajos G. Balázs

Photometric data-driven classification of supernovae becomes a challenge due to the appearance of real-time processing of big data in astronomy. Recent studies have demonstrated the superior quality of solutions based on various machine…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-01 Mariia Demianenko , Ekaterina Samorodova , Mikhail Sysak , Aleksandr Shiriaev , Konstantin Malanchev , Denis Derkach , Mikhail Hushchyn

Gravitational waves from compact binaries measured by the LIGO and Virgo detectors are routinely analyzed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms. Because the evaluation of the likelihood function requires evaluating millions of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-23 Arnaud Delaunoy , Antoine Wehenkel , Tanja Hinderer , Samaya Nissanke , Christoph Weniger , Andrew R. Williamson , Gilles Louppe

We present an inference method utilizing artificial neural networks for parameter estimation of a quantum probe monitored through a single continuous measurement. Unlike existing approaches focusing on the diffusive signals generated by…

This paper introduces an algorithm to select demonstration examples for in-context learning of a query set. Given a set of $n$ examples, how can we quickly select $k$ out of $n$ to best serve as the conditioning for downstream inference?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ziniu Zhang , Zhenshuo Zhang , Dongyue Li , Lu Wang , Jennifer Dy , Hongyang R. Zhang

We introduce SuperNNova, an open source supernova photometric classification framework which leverages recent advances in deep neural networks. Our core algorithm is a recurrent neural network (RNN) that is trained to classify light-curves…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-05 Anais Möller , Thibault de Boissière

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial modeling due to their ability to capture discontinuities and heavy tails, which are common in high-frequency asset return data. However, parameter estimation remains a challenge when associated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Nicolas Coloma , William Kleiber

This paper addresses the task of estimating a covariance matrix under a patternless sparsity assumption. In contrast to existing approaches based on thresholding or shrinkage penalties, we propose a likelihood-based method that regularizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jason Xu , Kenneth Lange

Substantial effort has been devoted to the characterization of transient phenomena from photometric information. Automated approaches to this problem have taken advantage of complete phase-coverage of an event, limiting their use for…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Alexander Gagliano , Gabriella Contardo , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Alex I. Malz , Patrick D. Aleo

We present simulated observations to assess the ability of LSST and the WFD survey to detect and characterize kilonovae - the optical emission associated with binary neutron star (and possibly black hole - neutron star) mergers. We expand…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-04-03 P. S. Cowperthwaite , V. A. Villar , D. M. Scolnic , E. Berger

We present an improved version of the 3D Monte Carlo radiative transfer code POSSIS to model kilonovae from neutron star mergers, wherein nuclear heating rates, thermalization efficiencies and wavelength-dependent opacities depend on local…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-02-01 Mattia Bulla

Latent position models are widely used for the analysis of networks in a variety of research fields. In fact, these models possess a number of desirable theoretical properties, and are particularly easy to interpret. However, statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-08 Riccardo Rastelli , Florian Maire , Nial Friel

Vast amounts of astronomical photometric data are generated from various projects, requiring significant effort to identify variable stars and other object classes. In light of this, a general, widely applicable classification framework…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-23 Kaiming Cui , D. J. Armstrong , Fabo Feng

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

With the enhancement of sensitivity of Gravitational Wave (GW) detectors and capabilities of large survey facilities, such as Vera Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) and 2.5-m Wide Field Survey Telescope (WFST), we now…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-29 Runduo Liang , Zhengyan Liu , Lei Lei , Wen Zhao

Event reconstruction is a central step in many particle physics experiments, turning detector observables into parameter estimates; for example estimating the energy of an interaction given the sensor readout of a detector. A corresponding…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-01-11 Philipp Eller , Aaron Fienberg , Jan Weldert , Garrett Wendel , Sebastian Böser , D. F. Cowen