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Motivated by a problem in the theory of randomized search heuristics, we give a very precise analysis for the coupon collector problem where the collector starts with a random set of coupons (chosen uniformly from all sets). We show that…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Benjamin Doerr , Carola Doerr

In this methodological article on experimental-yet-rigorous enumerative combinatorics, we use two instructive case studies, to show that often, just like Alexander the Great before us, the simple, "cheating" solution to a hard problem is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Yukun Yao , Doron Zeilberger

J. J. Sylvester's four-point problem asks for the probability that four points chosen uniformly at random in the plane have a triangle as their convex hull. Using a combinatorial classification of points in the plane due to Goodman and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Gregory S. Warrington

We consider the following one-player game called Dundee. We are given a deck consisting of s_i cards of Value i, where i=1,...,v, and an integer m\le s_1+...+s_v. There are m rounds. In each round, the player names a number between 1 and v…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-12-06 Kevin Liwack , Oleg Pikhurko , Suporn Pongnumkul

The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (LTH) states that a dense neural network model contains a highly sparse subnetwork (i.e., winning tickets) that can achieve even better performance than the original model when trained in isolation. While LTH…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Bohan Liu , Zijie Zhang , Peixiong He , Zhensen Wang , Yang Xiao , Ruimeng Ye , Yang Zhou , Wei-Shinn Ku , Bo Hui

A new probabilistic technique for establishing the existence of certain regular combinatorial structures has been recentlyintroduced by Kuperberg, Lovett, and Peled (STOC 2012). Using this technique, it can be shown that under certain…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Shachar Lovett , Sankeerth Rao , Alexander Vardy

Consider betting against a sequence of data in $[0,1]$, where one is allowed to make any bet that is fair if the data have a conditional mean $m_0 \in (0,1)$. Cover's universal portfolio algorithm delivers a worst-case regret of $O(\ln n)$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas

Partizan subtraction games are combinatorial games where two players, say Left and Right, alternately remove a number n of tokens from a heap of tokens, with $n \in S_L$ (resp. $n \in S_R$) when it is Left's (resp. Right's) turn. The first…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Eric Duchêne , Marc Heinrich , Richard J. Nowakowski , Aline Parreau

We consider the stochastic combinatorial semi-bandit problem with adversarial corruptions. We provide a simple combinatorial algorithm that can achieve a regret of $\tilde{O}\left(C+d^2K/\Delta_{min}\right)$ where $C$ is the total amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Haike Xu , Jian Li

In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Phil Maguire , Philippe Moser , Rebecca Maguire , Mark Keane

We look at the Florida Lottery records of winners of prizes worth $600 or more. Some individuals claimed large numbers of prizes. Were they lucky, or up to something? We distinguish the "plausibly lucky" from the "implausibly lucky" by…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-06 Richard Arratia , Skip Garibaldi , Lawrence Mower , Philip B. Stark

The ternary Goldbach conjecture, or three-primes problem, states that every odd number $n$ greater than $5$ can be written as the sum of three primes. The conjecture, posed in 1742, remained unsolved until now, in spite of great progress in…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Harald Andrés Helfgott

The original Parrondo game, denoted as AB3, contains two independent games: A and B. The winning or losing of A and B game is defined by the change of one unit of capital. Game A is a losing game if played continuously, with winning…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-22 Ka Wai Cheung , Ho Fai Ma , Degang Wu , Ga Ching Lui , Kwok Yip Szeto

Apportionment is the act of distributing the seats of a legislature among political parties (or states) in proportion to their vote shares (or populations). A famous impossibility by Balinski and Young (2001) shows that no apportionment…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-07 José Correa , Paul Gölz , Ulrike Schmidt-Kraepelin , Jamie Tucker-Foltz , Victor Verdugo

We revisit the well-studied problem of designing fair and manipulation-resistant tournament rules. In this problem, we seek a mechanism that (probabilistically) identifies the winner of a tournament after observing round-robin play among…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-08 David Pennock , Daniel Schoepflin , Kangning Wang

Answering a pair of questions of Conrey, Gabbard, Grant, Liu, and Morrison, we prove that a triplet of dice drawn from the multiset model are intransitive with probability $1/4+o(1)$ and the probability a random pair of dice tie tends…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-23 Ashwin Sah , Mehtaab Sawhney

Cubic bipartite graphs with girth at least 6 correspond to symmetric combinatorial (v_3) configurations. In 1887 V. Martinetti described a simple reduction method which enables one to reduce each combinatorial (v_3) configuration to one…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marko Boben

The functional characterization of a measure, an essential but delicate aspect of Stein's method, is shown to be accessible for stable probability distributions on convex cones. This notion encompasses the usual stable distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Costacèque , Decreusefond

The following variant of the collector's problem has attracted considerable attention relatively recently (see, e.g., N. Pintacuda 1980, D. Foata H. Guo-Niu and B. Lass 2001, D. Foata and D. Zeilberger 2003, I. Adler, S. Oren and S. Ross…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Aristides V. Doumas , Vassilis G. Papanicolaou

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt